MX23RW : Thursday, November 7 19:34:10| >> :300:86500:86500:
Newtown logo
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 10
Oct 23, 2021 at 5.15pm UK
Latham Park

Newtown
1 - 0
Caernarfon

Mwandwe (45+2')
Roberts (45'), (88'), Jones (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Hughes (40'), Edwards (42'), John Williams (58'), Jones (88'), Evans (90+1')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Newtown AFC and Caernarfon Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newtown AFC win with a probability of 53.52%. A win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 23.96% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newtown AFC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.76%) and 2-0 (8.23%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win was 1-2 (6.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newtown AFC would win this match.

Result
Newtown AFCDrawCaernarfon Town
53.52%22.52%23.96%
Both teams to score 58.85%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.11%40.89%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.72%63.28%
Newtown AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.71%15.29%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.99%44%
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.48%30.52%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.25%66.74%
Score Analysis
    Newtown AFC 53.52%
    Caernarfon Town 23.96%
    Draw 22.52%
Newtown AFCDrawCaernarfon Town
2-1 @ 9.77%
1-0 @ 8.76%
2-0 @ 8.23%
3-1 @ 6.11%
3-0 @ 5.15%
3-2 @ 3.63%
4-1 @ 2.87%
4-0 @ 2.42%
4-2 @ 1.7%
5-1 @ 1.08%
5-0 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 53.52%
1-1 @ 10.4%
2-2 @ 5.8%
0-0 @ 4.67%
3-3 @ 1.44%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 22.52%
1-2 @ 6.17%
0-1 @ 5.54%
0-2 @ 3.29%
1-3 @ 2.44%
2-3 @ 2.29%
0-3 @ 1.3%
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 23.96%

Head to Head
Aug 27, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Caernarfon
0-2
Newtown

Edwards (24'), (82'), Jones (84')
Evans (34')
Evans (52'), Williams (85')
(24')
May 29, 2021 12pm
Caernarfon
3-5
Newtown
Kenny (18'), Thomas (59', 73')
Kenny (9'), Cleworth (76'), (84')
Rushton (39' pen.), Mwandwe (44'), Davies (76', 80', 82')
Mills-Evans (45+5'), Williams (90')
Dec 18, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 17
Caernarfon
1-1
Newtown
Bradley (34')
Williams (13'), Mendes (59'), Hayes (77'), Bradley (90+4')
Breese (84')
O'Neill (31')
Sep 15, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 2
Newtown
2-3
Caernarfon
Davies (30', 51')
Rushton (16'), Edwards (39'), Phillips (45+2')
Mendes (45+3'), Bradley (59'), Edwards (79')
Thomas (66'), Brookwell (70'), Williams (89')
Apr 17, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Newtown
P-P
Caernarfon
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont1510412982134
2The New SaintsNew Saints13100339132630
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest158521961329
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU157352017324
5Barry Town UnitedBarry156452226-422
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon156362224-221
7Bala TownBala Town154831915420
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay155461815319
9Newtown AFCNewtown155462030-1019
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1532101731-1411
11Briton Ferry132291528-138
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1521121138-277
> Welsh Premier League Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!