Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 9
Apr 15, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
G.F. Grigg Latham Park
Newtown1 - 2Cardiff MU
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Newtown AFC and Cardiff MU.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Bala Town 1-2 Newtown
Friday, April 7 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Friday, April 7 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Cardiff MU 0-2 Connah's Quay
Saturday, April 8 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Saturday, April 8 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Goals
for
for
37
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff MU win with a probability of 41.11%. A win for Newtown AFC had a probability of 33.45% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff MU win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.78%) and 0-2 (6.8%). The likeliest Newtown AFC win was 1-0 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cardiff MU would win this match.
Result | ||
Newtown AFC | Draw | Cardiff MU |
33.45% ( -0.31) | 25.44% ( 0.05) | 41.11% ( 0.27) |
Both teams to score 55.67% ( -0.24) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.88% ( -0.27) | 48.12% ( 0.27) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.72% ( -0.25) | 70.28% ( 0.25) |
Newtown AFC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.52% ( -0.32) | 27.48% ( 0.32) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.03% ( -0.42) | 62.97% ( 0.42) |
Cardiff MU Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.76% ( 0.01) | 23.24% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.85% ( 0.02) | 57.15% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Newtown AFC 33.45%
Cardiff MU 41.11%
Draw 25.43%
Newtown AFC | Draw | Cardiff MU |
1-0 @ 8.25% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.78% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 5.33% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 3.35% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.44% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 2.29% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.08% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.94% Total : 33.45% | 1-1 @ 12.03% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.39% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.67% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.43% | 0-1 @ 9.32% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 8.78% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 6.8% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 4.27% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 3.31% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.76% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.56% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.21% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.09% Total : 41.11% |
Head to Head
Mar 10, 2023 7.45pm
Dec 22, 2022 7.45pm
Oct 22, 2022 2.30pm
Feb 19, 2022 2.30pm
Newtown
0-0
Cardiff MU
Taylor (71'), Hughes (82')
Baker (66'), Craven (69'), Chubb (87'), Lewis (90')
Feb 12, 2022 2.30pm
Cardiff MU
1-1
Newtown
Hearsey (90+4')
Mwandwe (29'), Williams (45+1'), Jones (56')
Mwandwe (29'), Williams (45+1'), Jones (56')
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 34 | 12 | 22 | 37 |
2 | The New SaintsNew Saints | 16 | 12 | 0 | 4 | 45 | 19 | 26 | 36 |
3 | Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 8 | 12 | 30 |
4 | Cardiff MUCardiff MU | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 26 | 20 | 6 | 28 |
5 | Barry Town UnitedBarry | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 25 |
6 | Caernarfon TownCaernarfon | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 24 | -1 | 24 |
7 | Bala TownBala Town | 17 | 4 | 10 | 3 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 22 |
8 | Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 19 |
9 | Newtown AFCNewtown | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 19 |
10 | Flint Town UnitedFlint Town | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 14 |
11 | Briton Ferry | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 11 |
12 | Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth | 17 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 14 | 42 | -28 | 10 |
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