MX23RW : Wednesday, December 25 13:27:15| >> :300:86500:86500:
Newtown logo
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 9
Apr 15, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
G.F. Grigg Latham Park

Newtown
1 - 2
Cardiff MU

Jones (49')
Sears (80'), Hughes (83')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Jones (54'), Evans (80' pen.)
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Newtown AFC and Cardiff MU.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newtown AFC

All competitions
Last Game: Bala Town 1-2 Newtown
Friday, April 7 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Cardiff MU

All competitions
Last Game: Cardiff MU 0-2 Connah's Quay
Saturday, April 8 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff MU win with a probability of 41.11%. A win for Newtown AFC had a probability of 33.45% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff MU win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.78%) and 0-2 (6.8%). The likeliest Newtown AFC win was 1-0 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cardiff MU would win this match.

Result
Newtown AFCDrawCardiff MU
33.45% (-0.313 -0.31) 25.44% (0.047000000000001 0.05) 41.11% (0.266 0.27)
Both teams to score 55.67% (-0.237 -0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.88% (-0.272 -0.27)48.12% (0.272 0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.72% (-0.251 -0.25)70.28% (0.252 0.25)
Newtown AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.52% (-0.321 -0.32)27.48% (0.322 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.03% (-0.419 -0.42)62.97% (0.419 0.42)
Cardiff MU Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.76% (0.012 0.01)23.24% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.85% (0.018999999999998 0.02)57.15% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Newtown AFC 33.45%
    Cardiff MU 41.11%
    Draw 25.43%
Newtown AFCDrawCardiff MU
1-0 @ 8.25% (0.017999999999999 0.02)
2-1 @ 7.78% (-0.050999999999999 -0.05)
2-0 @ 5.33% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-1 @ 3.35% (-0.053 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.44% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-0 @ 2.29% (-0.037 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.08% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 33.45%
1-1 @ 12.03% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 6.39% (0.072 0.07)
2-2 @ 5.67% (-0.034999999999999 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.19% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.43%
0-1 @ 9.32% (0.108 0.11)
1-2 @ 8.78% (0.026000000000002 0.03)
0-2 @ 6.8% (0.081 0.08)
1-3 @ 4.27% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.31% (0.041 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.76% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.56% (0.006 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.21% (0.015 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.01% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 41.11%

Head to Head
Mar 10, 2023 7.45pm
Cardiff MU
0-0
Newtown

Clubb (80'), Baker (86')

Taylor (23'), Cowans (67'), Williams (78')
Dec 22, 2022 7.45pm
Cardiff MU
2-1
Newtown
Evans (2'), Roberts (72')
Chubb (20' og.)
Taylor (16')
Oct 22, 2022 2.30pm
Newtown
0-1
Cardiff MU

Sears (43')
Rees (42')
Feb 19, 2022 2.30pm
Newtown
0-0
Cardiff MU

Taylor (71'), Hughes (82')

Baker (66'), Craven (69'), Chubb (87'), Lewis (90')
Feb 12, 2022 2.30pm
Cardiff MU
1-1
Newtown
Jones (17')
Chubb (63'), Craven (71'), Baker (78')
Hearsey (90+4')
Mwandwe (29'), Williams (45+1'), Jones (56')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont18124235122340
2The New SaintsNew Saints18130550222839
3Cardiff MUCardiff MU199462922731
4Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest188642091130
5Bala TownBala Town1961032619728
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon198472830-228
7Barry Town UnitedBarry198473035-528
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay186572419523
9Newtown AFCNewtown185492238-1619
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1952122337-1417
11Briton Ferry1842122338-1514
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1941141746-2913
> Welsh Premier League Full Table


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