MX23RW : Tuesday, March 11 18:19:43| >> :300:86500:86500:
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 19
Dec 22, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Cyncoed Campus Artificial Pitch
Newtown logo

Cardiff MU
2 - 1
Newtown

Evans (2'), Roberts (72')
Chubb (33'), Lang (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Chubb (20' og.)
Taylor (16')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Cardiff MU and Newtown AFC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cardiff MU

All competitions
Last Game: Cardiff MU 2-0 Haverfordwest
Friday, December 16 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Newtown AFC

All competitions
Last Game: Newtown 4-2 Pontypridd
Friday, December 16 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newtown AFC win with a probability of 41.82%. A win for Cardiff MU had a probability of 33.73% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newtown AFC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.22%) and 0-2 (6.43%). The likeliest Cardiff MU win was 2-1 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.

Result
Cardiff MUDrawNewtown AFC
33.73% (0.442 0.44) 24.44% (0.012 0.01) 41.82% (-0.454 -0.45)
Both teams to score 59.21% (0.099000000000004 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.45% (0.069000000000003 0.07)43.54% (-0.07 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.06% (0.069000000000003 0.07)65.93% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)
Cardiff MU Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.88% (0.295 0.3)25.12% (-0.294 -0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.18% (0.404 0.4)59.82% (-0.404 -0.4)
Newtown AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.07% (-0.18000000000001 -0.18)20.92% (0.18 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.34% (-0.281 -0.28)53.65% (0.28 0.28)
Score Analysis
    Cardiff MU 33.73%
    Newtown AFC 41.82%
    Draw 24.43%
Cardiff MUDrawNewtown AFC
2-1 @ 7.85% (0.065 0.07)
1-0 @ 7.26% (0.039 0.04)
2-0 @ 5.02% (0.069 0.07)
3-1 @ 3.61% (0.06 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.83% (0.032 0.03)
3-0 @ 2.31% (0.051 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.25% (0.031 0.03)
4-2 @ 0.98% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 33.73%
1-1 @ 11.35%
2-2 @ 6.14% (0.018 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.26% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.47% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.43%
1-2 @ 8.88% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
0-1 @ 8.22% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-2 @ 6.43% (-0.091 -0.09)
1-3 @ 4.63% (-0.051 -0.05)
0-3 @ 3.35% (-0.066 -0.07)
2-3 @ 3.2% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.81% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-4 @ 1.31% (-0.033 -0.03)
2-4 @ 1.25% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 41.82%

How you voted: Cardiff MU vs Newtown

Cardiff MU
30.0%
Draw
10.0%
Newtown AFC
60.0%
10
Head to Head
Oct 22, 2022 2.30pm
Newtown
0-1
Cardiff MU

Sears (43')
Rees (42')
Feb 19, 2022 2.30pm
Newtown
0-0
Cardiff MU

Taylor (71'), Hughes (82')

Baker (66'), Craven (69'), Chubb (87'), Lewis (90')
Feb 12, 2022 2.30pm
Cardiff MU
1-1
Newtown
Jones (17')
Chubb (63'), Craven (71'), Baker (78')
Hearsey (90+4')
Mwandwe (29'), Williams (45+1'), Jones (56')
May 4, 2021 7.45pm
Newtown
2-3
Cardiff MU
Ofori (1'), Rushton (66' pen.)
Fletcher (32'), Roberts (44'), Mills-Evans (53'), Ofori (57')
Rees (5'), Hulbert (54'), Evans (77' pen.)
Baker (42'), Lewis (60'), Woolridge (86')
Lewis (66')
Apr 13, 2021 7.45pm
Cardiff MU
2-2
Newtown
Baker (22'), Warman (57')
Warman (64'), Woolridge (80')
Mills-Evans (14'), Mwandwe (42')
Ofori (53'), Evans (84'), Davies (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Round
1The New SaintsNew Saints27220576284866
2Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont27166548272154
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest27139535191648
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU27125104137441
5Caernarfon TownCaernarfon27125104444041
6Bala TownBala Town2771193434032
Relegation Round
1Barry Town UnitedBarry2711794246-440
2Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay271051239291035
3Flint Town UnitedFlint Town2793153754-1730
4Briton Ferry2774164257-1525
5Newtown AFCNewtown2767143052-2225
6Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth2752202263-4117
 
Regular Season
1The New SaintsNew Saints22170561263551
2Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont22155242162650
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest22117429111840
4Caernarfon TownCaernarfon2210483535034
5Bala TownBala Town2271142821732
6Cardiff MUCardiff MU229583229332
7Barry Town UnitedBarry228683238-630
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay2275103226626
9Briton Ferry2263133345-1221
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town2262142747-2020
11Newtown AFCNewtown2254132446-2219
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth2242161853-3514
> Welsh Premier League Full Table


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