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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 19
Dec 22, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Cyncoed Campus Artificial Pitch
Newtown logo

Cardiff MU
2 - 1
Newtown

Evans (2'), Roberts (72')
Chubb (33'), Lang (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Chubb (20' og.)
Taylor (16')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Cardiff MU and Newtown AFC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cardiff MU

All competitions
Last Game: Cardiff MU 2-0 Haverfordwest
Friday, December 16 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Newtown AFC

All competitions
Last Game: Newtown 4-2 Pontypridd
Friday, December 16 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newtown AFC win with a probability of 41.82%. A win for Cardiff MU had a probability of 33.73% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newtown AFC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.22%) and 0-2 (6.43%). The likeliest Cardiff MU win was 2-1 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.

Result
Cardiff MUDrawNewtown AFC
33.73% (0.442 0.44) 24.44% (0.012 0.01) 41.82% (-0.454 -0.45)
Both teams to score 59.21% (0.099000000000004 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.45% (0.069000000000003 0.07)43.54% (-0.07 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.06% (0.069000000000003 0.07)65.93% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)
Cardiff MU Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.88% (0.295 0.3)25.12% (-0.294 -0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.18% (0.404 0.4)59.82% (-0.404 -0.4)
Newtown AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.07% (-0.18000000000001 -0.18)20.92% (0.18 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.34% (-0.281 -0.28)53.65% (0.28 0.28)
Score Analysis
    Cardiff MU 33.73%
    Newtown AFC 41.82%
    Draw 24.43%
Cardiff MUDrawNewtown AFC
2-1 @ 7.85% (0.065 0.07)
1-0 @ 7.26% (0.039 0.04)
2-0 @ 5.02% (0.069 0.07)
3-1 @ 3.61% (0.06 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.83% (0.032 0.03)
3-0 @ 2.31% (0.051 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.25% (0.031 0.03)
4-2 @ 0.98% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 33.73%
1-1 @ 11.35%
2-2 @ 6.14% (0.018 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.26% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.47% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.43%
1-2 @ 8.88% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
0-1 @ 8.22% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-2 @ 6.43% (-0.091 -0.09)
1-3 @ 4.63% (-0.051 -0.05)
0-3 @ 3.35% (-0.066 -0.07)
2-3 @ 3.2% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.81% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-4 @ 1.31% (-0.033 -0.03)
2-4 @ 1.25% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 41.82%

How you voted: Cardiff MU vs Newtown

Cardiff MU
30.0%
Draw
10.0%
Newtown AFC
60.0%
10
Head to Head
Oct 22, 2022 2.30pm
Newtown
0-1
Cardiff MU

Sears (43')
Rees (42')
Feb 19, 2022 2.30pm
Newtown
0-0
Cardiff MU

Taylor (71'), Hughes (82')

Baker (66'), Craven (69'), Chubb (87'), Lewis (90')
Feb 12, 2022 2.30pm
Cardiff MU
1-1
Newtown
Jones (17')
Chubb (63'), Craven (71'), Baker (78')
Hearsey (90+4')
Mwandwe (29'), Williams (45+1'), Jones (56')
May 4, 2021 7.45pm
Newtown
2-3
Cardiff MU
Ofori (1'), Rushton (66' pen.)
Fletcher (32'), Roberts (44'), Mills-Evans (53'), Ofori (57')
Rees (5'), Hulbert (54'), Evans (77' pen.)
Baker (42'), Lewis (60'), Woolridge (86')
Lewis (66')
Apr 13, 2021 7.45pm
Cardiff MU
2-2
Newtown
Baker (22'), Warman (57')
Warman (64'), Woolridge (80')
Mills-Evans (14'), Mwandwe (42')
Ofori (53'), Evans (84'), Davies (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont1510412982134
2The New SaintsNew Saints13100339132630
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest158521961329
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU157352017324
5Barry Town UnitedBarry156452226-422
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon156362224-221
7Bala TownBala Town154831915420
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay155461815319
9Newtown AFCNewtown155462030-1019
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1532101731-1411
11Briton Ferry132291528-138
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1521121138-277
> Welsh Premier League Full Table


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