Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 3
Feb 25, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
G.F. Grigg Latham Park
Newtown3 - 2Bala Town
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Newtown AFC and Bala Town.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: New Saints 1-0 Newtown
Saturday, February 18 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Saturday, February 18 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Connah's Quay 1-1 Bala Town
Saturday, February 18 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Saturday, February 18 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Goals
for
for
43
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bala Town win with a probability of 39.44%. A win for Newtown AFC had a probability of 34.21% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bala Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.49%) and 0-2 (6.83%). The likeliest Newtown AFC win was 1-0 (9.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Newtown AFC | Draw | Bala Town |
34.21% ( 1.89) | 26.34% ( 1.16) | 39.44% ( -3.05) |
Both teams to score 52.83% ( -3.31) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.14% ( -4.51) | 51.85% ( 4.5) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.39% ( -4.04) | 73.61% ( 4.04) |
Newtown AFC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.18% ( -1.01) | 28.82% ( 1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.32% ( -1.27) | 64.68% ( 1.27) |
Bala Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.21% ( -3.55) | 25.78% ( 3.55) |