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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 4
Mar 10, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Cyncoed Campus Artificial Pitch
Newtown logo

Cardiff MU
0 - 0
Newtown


Clubb (80'), Baker (86')
FT

Taylor (23'), Cowans (67'), Williams (78')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Cardiff MU and Newtown AFC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Connah's Quay 2-1 Cardiff MU
Saturday, February 25 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Newtown 3-2 Bala Town
Saturday, February 25 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff MU win with a probability of 48.19%. A win for Newtown AFC had a probability of 28.68% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff MU win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.9%) and 2-0 (7.06%). The likeliest Newtown AFC win was 1-2 (7.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.

Result
Cardiff MUDrawNewtown AFC
48.19% (0.065999999999995 0.07) 23.13% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01) 28.68% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
Both teams to score 61.29% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.3% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)39.69%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.95% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)62.04%
Cardiff MU Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.25% (0.022000000000006 0.02)16.74% (-0.025000000000002 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.33% (0.042000000000002 0.04)46.66% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)
Newtown AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.61% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)26.38% (0.038 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.46% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)61.54% (0.053000000000004 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Cardiff MU 48.19%
    Newtown AFC 28.68%
    Draw 23.12%
Cardiff MUDrawNewtown AFC
2-1 @ 9.4% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.9% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.06% (0.011 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.6% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.2% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.73% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 2.5% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.88% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.67% (0.002 0)
Other @ 4.25%
Total : 48.19%
1-1 @ 10.51% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.26% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-0 @ 4.42%
3-3 @ 1.66% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 23.12%
1-2 @ 7.01% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
0-1 @ 5.89% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.92% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.11% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.78% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 1.74% (-0.006 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.04% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 0.93% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 28.68%

Head to Head
Dec 22, 2022 7.45pm
Cardiff MU
2-1
Newtown
Evans (2'), Roberts (72')
Chubb (20' og.)
Taylor (16')
Oct 22, 2022 2.30pm
Feb 19, 2022 2.30pm
Newtown
0-0
Cardiff MU

Taylor (71'), Hughes (82')

Baker (66'), Craven (69'), Chubb (87'), Lewis (90')
Feb 12, 2022 2.30pm
Cardiff MU
1-1
Newtown
Jones (17')
Chubb (63'), Craven (71'), Baker (78')
Hearsey (90+4')
Mwandwe (29'), Williams (45+1'), Jones (56')
May 4, 2021 7.45pm
Newtown
2-3
Cardiff MU
Ofori (1'), Rushton (66' pen.)
Fletcher (32'), Roberts (44'), Mills-Evans (53'), Ofori (57')
Rees (5'), Hulbert (54'), Evans (77' pen.)
Baker (42'), Lewis (60'), Woolridge (86')
Lewis (66')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont17114234122237
2The New SaintsNew Saints16120445192636
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest178632081230
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU178452620628
5Barry Town UnitedBarry167452528-325
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon167362324-124
7Bala TownBala Town1741032218422
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay165472018219
9Newtown AFCNewtown165472133-1219
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1742112035-1514
11Briton Ferry1632111932-1311
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1731131442-2810


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