MX23RW : Sunday, November 17 16:25:15| >> :300:86500:86500:
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 6
Mar 24, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Deeside College Stadium
Newtown logo

Connah's Quay
2 - 0
Newtown

Morris (50' pen.), Kenny (70')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Rushton (90+4')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Connah's Quay Nomads and Newtown AFC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Connah's Quay 0-0 New Saints
Friday, March 17 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Newtown 0-1 Pen-y-Bont
Saturday, March 18 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 63.82%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Newtown AFC had a probability of 16.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.93%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.44%), while for a Newtown AFC win it was 0-1 (4.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Connah's Quay Nomads in this match.

Result
Connah's Quay NomadsDrawNewtown AFC
63.82% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02) 20.08% (0.0040000000000013 0) 16.1% (0.019000000000002 0.02)
Both teams to score 53.85% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.82% (0.022999999999996 0.02)41.17% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.43% (0.024000000000001 0.02)63.57% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)
Connah's Quay Nomads Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.76% (0.0010000000000048 0)12.24%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.06% (0.00099999999999767 0)37.94% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Newtown AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.36% (0.041000000000004 0.04)38.64% (-0.041999999999994 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.61% (0.038 0.04)75.38% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Connah's Quay Nomads 63.82%
    Newtown AFC 16.1%
    Draw 20.08%
Connah's Quay NomadsDrawNewtown AFC
2-0 @ 10.43% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-0 @ 9.93% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.92% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 7.31% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.95% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-0 @ 3.84% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 3.65% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 3.3% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.74% (0.002 0)
5-0 @ 1.61% (-0.002 -0)
5-1 @ 1.53%
Other @ 3.61%
Total : 63.82%
1-1 @ 9.44%
0-0 @ 4.73% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-2 @ 4.72% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 1.05% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 20.08%
0-1 @ 4.5%
1-2 @ 4.49% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 2.14% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 1.5% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 1.42% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 16.1%

How you voted: Connah's Quay vs Newtown

Connah's Quay Nomads
60.0%
Draw
20.0%
Newtown AFC
20.0%
5
Head to Head
Feb 11, 2023 2.30pm
Newtown
1-1
Connah's Quay
Robles (6')
Hughes (23'), Mwandwe (27')
Wilde (90')
Bratley (42')
Jan 7, 2023 2.30pm
Newtown
0-0
Connah's Quay

Sears (88'), Roberts (90+3')

Malkin (34')
Oct 28, 2022 7.45pm
Connah's Quay
3-1
Newtown
Morris (27' pen.), Wilde (43'), Hayes (65')
Wilde (35')
Williams (82')
Apr 9, 2022 2.30pm
Newtown
1-0
Connah's Quay
Mwandwe (38')
Ismail (29')

Donohue (38')
Mar 11, 2022 7.45pm
Connah's Quay
0-4
Newtown

Edwards (23'), Gosset (72')
Rushton (34'), Williams (48', 51'), Breese (90+4')
Mwandwe (9')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont1611413292337
2The New SaintsNew Saints14110341142733
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest168532081229
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU167452320325
5Barry Town UnitedBarry167452528-325
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon167362324-124
7Bala TownBala Town164932218421
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay165472018219
9Newtown AFCNewtown165472133-1219
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1632111834-1611
11Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1631121439-2510
12Briton Ferry1422101529-148


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