MX23RW : Wednesday, December 18 10:16:30| >> :300:86500:86500:
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 6
Mar 24, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Deeside College Stadium
Newtown logo

Connah's Quay
2 - 0
Newtown

Morris (50' pen.), Kenny (70')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Rushton (90+4')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Connah's Quay Nomads and Newtown AFC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Connah's Quay 0-0 New Saints
Friday, March 17 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Newtown 0-1 Pen-y-Bont
Saturday, March 18 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 63.82%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Newtown AFC had a probability of 16.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.93%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.44%), while for a Newtown AFC win it was 0-1 (4.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Connah's Quay Nomads in this match.

Result
Connah's Quay NomadsDrawNewtown AFC
63.82% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02) 20.08% (0.0040000000000013 0) 16.1% (0.019000000000002 0.02)
Both teams to score 53.85% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.82% (0.022999999999996 0.02)41.17% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.43% (0.024000000000001 0.02)63.57% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)
Connah's Quay Nomads Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.76% (0.0010000000000048 0)12.24%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.06% (0.00099999999999767 0)37.94% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Newtown AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.36% (0.041000000000004 0.04)38.64% (-0.041999999999994 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.61% (0.038 0.04)75.38% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Connah's Quay Nomads 63.82%
    Newtown AFC 16.1%
    Draw 20.08%
Connah's Quay NomadsDrawNewtown AFC
2-0 @ 10.43% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-0 @ 9.93% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.92% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 7.31% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.95% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-0 @ 3.84% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 3.65% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 3.3% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.74% (0.002 0)
5-0 @ 1.61% (-0.002 -0)
5-1 @ 1.53%
Other @ 3.61%
Total : 63.82%
1-1 @ 9.44%
0-0 @ 4.73% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-2 @ 4.72% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 1.05% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 20.08%
0-1 @ 4.5%
1-2 @ 4.49% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 2.14% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 1.5% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 1.42% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 16.1%

How you voted: Connah's Quay vs Newtown

Connah's Quay Nomads
60.0%
Draw
20.0%
Newtown AFC
20.0%
5
Head to Head
Feb 11, 2023 2.30pm
Newtown
1-1
Connah's Quay
Robles (6')
Hughes (23'), Mwandwe (27')
Wilde (90')
Bratley (42')
Jan 7, 2023 2.30pm
Newtown
0-0
Connah's Quay

Sears (88'), Roberts (90+3')

Malkin (34')
Oct 28, 2022 7.45pm
Connah's Quay
3-1
Newtown
Morris (27' pen.), Wilde (43'), Hayes (65')
Wilde (35')
Williams (82')
Apr 9, 2022 2.30pm
Newtown
1-0
Connah's Quay
Mwandwe (38')
Ismail (29')

Donohue (38')
Mar 11, 2022 7.45pm
Connah's Quay
0-4
Newtown

Edwards (23'), Gosset (72')
Rushton (34'), Williams (48', 51'), Breese (90+4')
Mwandwe (9')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont18124235122340
2The New SaintsNew Saints17120545202536
3Cardiff MUCardiff MU199462922731
4Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest188642091130
5Caernarfon TownCaernarfon188462727028
6Barry Town UnitedBarry188462932-328
7Bala TownBala Town1851032318525
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay186572419523
9Newtown AFCNewtown185492238-1619
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1952122337-1417
11Briton Ferry1742112133-1214
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1831141445-3110


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