MX23RW : Wednesday, December 18 10:44:38| >> :300:86500:86500:
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 3
Feb 25, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Deeside College Stadium

Connah's Quay
2 - 1
Cardiff MU

Nash (35'), Harrington (90+1')
Bratley (40')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Rees (88')
Rees (13'), Clubb (30'), Lewis (77')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Connah's Quay Nomads and Cardiff MU.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Connah's Quay 1-1 Bala Town
Saturday, February 18 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Pen-y-Bont 2-1 Cardiff MU
Friday, February 17 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 57.07%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Cardiff MU had a probability of 18.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.29%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.38%), while for a Cardiff MU win it was 0-1 (6.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Connah's Quay Nomads would win this match.

Result
Connah's Quay NomadsDrawCardiff MU
57.07% (0.00099999999999767 0) 24.16% (0.0019999999999989 0) 18.77% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Both teams to score 46.32% (-0.012 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.1% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)53.9% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.64% (-0.012 -0.01)75.35% (0.012 0.01)
Connah's Quay Nomads Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.26% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)18.74% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.88% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)50.12% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Cardiff MU Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.01% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)42.99% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.72% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)79.28% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Connah's Quay Nomads 57.06%
    Cardiff MU 18.77%
    Draw 24.15%
Connah's Quay NomadsDrawCardiff MU
1-0 @ 13.49% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 11.29%
2-1 @ 9.54% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 6.31%
3-1 @ 5.32% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
4-0 @ 2.64%
3-2 @ 2.25% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 2.23% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-2 @ 0.94%
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 57.06%
1-1 @ 11.38%
0-0 @ 8.06% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-2 @ 4.03% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 24.15%
0-1 @ 6.8% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-2 @ 4.81% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 2.87%
1-3 @ 1.35%
2-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 18.77%

Head to Head
Oct 15, 2022 2.30pm
Connah's Quay
2-0
Cardiff MU
Wilde (10', 50')
Horan (28')
Aug 13, 2022 2.30pm
Cardiff MU
2-0
Connah's Quay
Jones (22'), Rees (83')
Lewis (17')

Nash (34'), Wilde (49'), Horan (62'), Malkin (65')
Dec 11, 2021 2.30pm
Connah's Quay
0-0
Cardiff MU

Curran (7'), Horan (49'), Harrington (82')

Lang (90+2'), Roscrow (90+4')
Oct 23, 2021 2.30pm
Cardiff MU
1-1
Connah's Quay
Roberts (90')
McCarthy (1'), (72')
McCarthy (72')
Insall (16')
Dec 19, 2020 2.30pm
Connah's Quay
3-1
Cardiff MU
Wilde (2'), Horan (63'), Williams (88')
Morris (84')
Lewis (18')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont18124235122340
2The New SaintsNew Saints17120545202536
3Cardiff MUCardiff MU199462922731
4Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest188642091130
5Caernarfon TownCaernarfon188462727028
6Barry Town UnitedBarry188462932-328
7Bala TownBala Town1851032318525
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay186572419523
9Newtown AFCNewtown185492238-1619
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1952122337-1417
11Briton Ferry1742112133-1214
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1831141445-3110


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