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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 8
Sep 23, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
The KYMCO Stadium

Pen-y-Bont
3 - 1
Aberystwyth

Borge (26'), Wood (39' pen.), Owen (83')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Flint (34' pen.)
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Pen-y-Bont and Aberystwyth Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Newtown 2-3 Pen-y-Bont
Saturday, September 17 at 5.15pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Aberystwyth 2-1 Connah's Quay
Friday, September 16 at 8pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pen-y-Bont win with a probability of 44.9%. A win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 30.09% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pen-y-Bont win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.18%) and 2-0 (7.48%). The likeliest Aberystwyth Town win was 0-1 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pen-y-Bont would win this match.

Result
Pen-y-BontDrawAberystwyth Town
44.9% (3.939 3.94) 25% (-0.757 -0.76) 30.09% (-3.187 -3.19)
Both teams to score 55.74% (1.184 1.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.6% (2.137 2.14)47.4% (-2.142 -2.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.38% (1.95 1.95)69.61% (-1.955 -1.96)
Pen-y-Bont Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.85% (2.792 2.79)21.14% (-2.797 -2.8)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46% (4.165 4.17)53.99% (-4.17 -4.17)
Aberystwyth Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.68% (-1.042 -1.04)29.31% (1.036 1.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.71% (-1.293 -1.29)65.29% (1.288 1.29)
Score Analysis
    Pen-y-Bont 44.9%
    Aberystwyth Town 30.09%
    Draw 24.99%
Pen-y-BontDrawAberystwyth Town
1-0 @ 9.63% (-0.048 -0.05)
2-1 @ 9.18% (0.443 0.44)
2-0 @ 7.48% (0.564 0.56)
3-1 @ 4.76% (0.592 0.59)
3-0 @ 3.88% (0.579 0.58)
3-2 @ 2.92% (0.288 0.29)
4-1 @ 1.85% (0.359 0.36)
4-0 @ 1.51% (0.327 0.33)
4-2 @ 1.13% (0.194 0.19)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 44.9%
1-1 @ 11.81% (-0.41 -0.41)
0-0 @ 6.2% (-0.572 -0.57)
2-2 @ 5.63% (0.115 0.12)
3-3 @ 1.19% (0.087 0.09)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.99%
0-1 @ 7.6% (-0.945 -0.94)
1-2 @ 7.25% (-0.47 -0.47)
0-2 @ 4.67% (-0.734 -0.73)
1-3 @ 2.97% (-0.284 -0.28)
2-3 @ 2.3% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.91% (-0.365 -0.37)
1-4 @ 0.91% (-0.116 -0.12)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 30.09%

Head to Head
Jan 21, 2022 7.45pm
Pen-y-Bont
4-0
Aberystwyth
Ahmun (8', 15', 20'), Wood (77')
Evans (60')

Owen (52'), Rimmer (90')
Darlington (60')
Oct 22, 2021 8pm
Aberystwyth
0-3
Pen-y-Bont

Jones (29'), Jenkins (90+1')
Waite (16', 49'), Watts (34')
Jefferies (90+2')
Mar 27, 2021 2.30pm
Aberystwyth
1-1
Pen-y-Bont
Franklin (33')
Williams (49'), Owen (72'), Owen (77'), Roberts (80'), Thorn (82')
Owen (90+4')
Davies (59')
Snaith (83')
Sep 15, 2020 7.45pm
Pen-y-Bont
1-1
Aberystwyth
Wood (16')
Davies (37'), Wood (46')
Bradford (47')
Bradford (37'), Rimmer (45+1'), Williams (69'), Jones (71'), Rowe (82'), (88')
Jones (82')
Apr 10, 2020 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont17114234122237
2The New SaintsNew Saints16120445192636
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest178632081230
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU178452620628
5Barry Town UnitedBarry167452528-325
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon167362324-124
7Bala TownBala Town1741032218422
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay165472018219
9Newtown AFCNewtown165472133-1219
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1742112035-1514
11Briton Ferry1632111932-1311
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1731131442-2810


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