Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 8
Sep 23, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
The KYMCO Stadium
Pen-y-Bont3 - 1Aberystwyth
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Pen-y-Bont and Aberystwyth Town.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Newtown 2-3 Pen-y-Bont
Saturday, September 17 at 5.15pm in Welsh Premier League
Saturday, September 17 at 5.15pm in Welsh Premier League
Goals
for
for
10
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pen-y-Bont win with a probability of 44.9%. A win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 30.09% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pen-y-Bont win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.18%) and 2-0 (7.48%). The likeliest Aberystwyth Town win was 0-1 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pen-y-Bont would win this match.
Result | ||
Pen-y-Bont | Draw | Aberystwyth Town |
44.9% ( 3.94) | 25% ( -0.76) | 30.09% ( -3.19) |
Both teams to score 55.74% ( 1.18) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.6% ( 2.14) | 47.4% ( -2.14) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.38% ( 1.95) | 69.61% ( -1.96) |
Pen-y-Bont Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.85% ( 2.79) | 21.14% ( -2.8) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46% ( 4.17) | 53.99% ( -4.17) |
Aberystwyth Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.68% ( -1.04) | 29.31% ( 1.04) |