MX23RW : Friday, January 24 17:45:33| >> :300:86500:86500:
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 8
Sep 23, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
The KYMCO Stadium

Pen-y-Bont
3 - 1
Aberystwyth

Borge (26'), Wood (39' pen.), Owen (83')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Flint (34' pen.)
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Pen-y-Bont and Aberystwyth Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Newtown 2-3 Pen-y-Bont
Saturday, September 17 at 5.15pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Aberystwyth 2-1 Connah's Quay
Friday, September 16 at 8pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pen-y-Bont win with a probability of 44.9%. A win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 30.09% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pen-y-Bont win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.18%) and 2-0 (7.48%). The likeliest Aberystwyth Town win was 0-1 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pen-y-Bont would win this match.

Result
Pen-y-BontDrawAberystwyth Town
44.9% (3.939 3.94) 25% (-0.757 -0.76) 30.09% (-3.187 -3.19)
Both teams to score 55.74% (1.184 1.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.6% (2.137 2.14)47.4% (-2.142 -2.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.38% (1.95 1.95)69.61% (-1.955 -1.96)
Pen-y-Bont Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.85% (2.792 2.79)21.14% (-2.797 -2.8)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46% (4.165 4.17)53.99% (-4.17 -4.17)
Aberystwyth Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.68% (-1.042 -1.04)29.31% (1.036 1.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.71% (-1.293 -1.29)65.29% (1.288 1.29)
Score Analysis
    Pen-y-Bont 44.9%
    Aberystwyth Town 30.09%
    Draw 24.99%
Pen-y-BontDrawAberystwyth Town
1-0 @ 9.63% (-0.048 -0.05)
2-1 @ 9.18% (0.443 0.44)
2-0 @ 7.48% (0.564 0.56)
3-1 @ 4.76% (0.592 0.59)
3-0 @ 3.88% (0.579 0.58)
3-2 @ 2.92% (0.288 0.29)
4-1 @ 1.85% (0.359 0.36)
4-0 @ 1.51% (0.327 0.33)
4-2 @ 1.13% (0.194 0.19)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 44.9%
1-1 @ 11.81% (-0.41 -0.41)
0-0 @ 6.2% (-0.572 -0.57)
2-2 @ 5.63% (0.115 0.12)
3-3 @ 1.19% (0.087 0.09)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.99%
0-1 @ 7.6% (-0.945 -0.94)
1-2 @ 7.25% (-0.47 -0.47)
0-2 @ 4.67% (-0.734 -0.73)
1-3 @ 2.97% (-0.284 -0.28)
2-3 @ 2.3% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.91% (-0.365 -0.37)
1-4 @ 0.91% (-0.116 -0.12)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 30.09%

Head to Head
Jan 21, 2022 7.45pm
Pen-y-Bont
4-0
Aberystwyth
Ahmun (8', 15', 20'), Wood (77')
Evans (60')

Owen (52'), Rimmer (90')
Darlington (60')
Oct 22, 2021 8pm
Aberystwyth
0-3
Pen-y-Bont

Jones (29'), Jenkins (90+1')
Waite (16', 49'), Watts (34')
Jefferies (90+2')
Mar 27, 2021 2.30pm
Aberystwyth
1-1
Pen-y-Bont
Franklin (33')
Williams (49'), Owen (72'), Owen (77'), Roberts (80'), Thorn (82')
Owen (90+4')
Davies (59')
Snaith (83')
Sep 15, 2020 7.45pm
Pen-y-Bont
1-1
Aberystwyth
Wood (16')
Davies (37'), Wood (46')
Bradford (47')
Bradford (37'), Rimmer (45+1'), Williams (69'), Jones (71'), Rowe (82'), (88')
Jones (82')
Apr 10, 2020 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Round
1The New SaintsNew Saints22170561263551
2Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont22155242162650
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest22117429111840
4Caernarfon TownCaernarfon2210483535034
5Bala TownBala Town2271142821732
6Cardiff MUCardiff MU229583229332
Relegation Round
1Barry Town UnitedBarry228683238-630
2Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay2275103226626
3Briton Ferry2263133345-1221
4Flint Town UnitedFlint Town2262142747-2020
5Newtown AFCNewtown2254132446-2219
6Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth2242161853-3514
 
Regular Season
1The New SaintsNew Saints22170561263551
2Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont22155242162650
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest22117429111840
4Caernarfon TownCaernarfon2210483535034
5Bala TownBala Town2271142821732
6Cardiff MUCardiff MU229583229332
7Barry Town UnitedBarry228683238-630
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay2275103226626
9Briton Ferry2263133345-1221
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town2262142747-2020
11Newtown AFCNewtown2254132446-2219
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth2242161853-3514


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