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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 5
Sep 3, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
Deeside College Stadium

Connah's Quay
2 - 0
Pen-y-Bont

Horan (38'), Hayes (75')
Mendes (74'), Harrington (88'), Franklin (89'), Holmes (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Wood (81')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Connah's Quay Nomads and Pen-y-Bont.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Pen-y-Bont 3-2 Haverfordwest
Tuesday, August 30 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 57.78%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Pen-y-Bont had a probability of 18.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.89%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.08%), while for a Pen-y-Bont win it was 0-1 (6.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Connah's Quay Nomads would win this match.

Result
Connah's Quay NomadsDrawPen-y-Bont
57.78% (-1.548 -1.55) 23.33% (0.352 0.35) 18.89% (1.198 1.2)
Both teams to score 48.92% (1.062 1.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.47% (0.312 0.31)50.53% (-0.309 -0.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.55% (0.275 0.27)72.45% (-0.27200000000001 -0.27)
Connah's Quay Nomads Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.77% (-0.434 -0.43)17.24% (0.436 0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.46% (-0.768 -0.77)47.54% (0.77 0.77)
Pen-y-Bont Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.11% (1.586 1.59)40.89% (-1.584 -1.58)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.54% (1.388 1.39)77.46% (-1.386 -1.39)
Score Analysis
    Connah's Quay Nomads 57.78%
    Pen-y-Bont 18.89%
    Draw 23.32%
Connah's Quay NomadsDrawPen-y-Bont
1-0 @ 12.39% (-0.33 -0.33)
2-0 @ 10.89% (-0.46 -0.46)
2-1 @ 9.74% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
3-0 @ 6.38% (-0.366 -0.37)
3-1 @ 5.71% (-0.071000000000001 -0.07)
4-0 @ 2.81% (-0.204 -0.2)
3-2 @ 2.55% (0.078 0.08)
4-1 @ 2.51% (-0.068 -0.07)
4-2 @ 1.12% (0.018 0.02)
5-0 @ 0.99% (-0.087 -0.09)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 57.78%
1-1 @ 11.08% (0.19 0.19)
0-0 @ 7.05% (-0.088 -0.09)
2-2 @ 4.36% (0.194 0.19)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 23.32%
0-1 @ 6.3% (0.192 0.19)
1-2 @ 4.96% (0.289 0.29)
0-2 @ 2.82% (0.202 0.2)
1-3 @ 1.48% (0.145 0.15)
2-3 @ 1.3% (0.111 0.11)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 18.89%

Head to Head
Apr 15, 2022 2.30pm
Connah's Quay
1-0
Pen-y-Bont
Georgievsky (90' og.)
Gosset (20'), Donohue (20'), Edwards (90+3')
Mar 5, 2022 2.30pm
Pen-y-Bont
0-3
Connah's Quay

MacDonald (21'), (51'), Reynolds (86'), D. Wood (90+1')
Thomas (15'), Hayes (37', 85')
Nov 20, 2021 2.30pm
Aug 28, 2021 5.15pm
Pen-y-Bont
1-1
Connah's Quay
Harling (21')
Borge (78')
Harrison (35')
Curran (69'), Owens (72')
May 15, 2021 12pm
Pen-y-Bont
0-2
Connah's Quay

Stevens (45+1')
Horan (6'), Edwards (75')
Harrison (36'), Insall (39'), Edwards (76'), Owen (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont18124235122340
2The New SaintsNew Saints18130550222839
3Cardiff MUCardiff MU199462922731
4Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest188642091130
5Bala TownBala Town1961032619728
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon198472830-228
7Barry Town UnitedBarry198473035-528
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay186572419523
9Newtown AFCNewtown185492238-1619
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1952122337-1417
11Briton Ferry1842122338-1514
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1941141746-2913


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