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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 2
Feb 17, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
The KYMCO Stadium

Pen-y-Bont
2 - 1
Cardiff MU

Reynolds (42'), Wood (89' pen.)
Absalom (90+8')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Lewis (90+6')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Pen-y-Bont and Cardiff MU.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bala Town 0-0 Pen-y-Bont
Saturday, February 11 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Cardiff MU 3-2 New Saints
Saturday, February 11 at 12.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pen-y-Bont win with a probability of 47.86%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Cardiff MU had a probability of 26.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pen-y-Bont win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.18%) and 2-0 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.38%), while for a Cardiff MU win it was 0-1 (8.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pen-y-Bont would win this match.

Result
Pen-y-BontDrawCardiff MU
47.86% (1.68 1.68) 26.13% (-0.147 -0.15) 26.01% (-1.53 -1.53)
Both teams to score 49.37% (-0.728 -0.73)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.62% (-0.375 -0.38)54.37% (0.379 0.38)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.25% (-0.314 -0.31)75.75% (0.318 0.32)
Pen-y-Bont Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.27% (0.61500000000001 0.62)22.73% (-0.612 -0.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.59% (0.902 0.9)56.41% (-0.898 -0.9)
Cardiff MU Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.9% (-1.459 -1.46)36.1% (1.465 1.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.11% (-1.519 -1.52)72.88% (1.524 1.52)
Score Analysis
    Pen-y-Bont 47.85%
    Cardiff MU 26.01%
    Draw 26.12%
Pen-y-BontDrawCardiff MU
1-0 @ 12.15% (0.39 0.39)
2-1 @ 9.18% (0.103 0.1)
2-0 @ 9.01% (0.448 0.45)
3-1 @ 4.53% (0.131 0.13)
3-0 @ 4.45% (0.297 0.3)
3-2 @ 2.31% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.68% (0.078 0.08)
4-0 @ 1.65% (0.138 0.14)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 47.85%
1-1 @ 12.38% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-0 @ 8.21% (0.121 0.12)
2-2 @ 4.67% (-0.135 -0.14)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 26.12%
0-1 @ 8.36% (-0.212 -0.21)
1-2 @ 6.31% (-0.302 -0.3)
0-2 @ 4.26% (-0.285 -0.28)
1-3 @ 2.14% (-0.194 -0.19)
2-3 @ 1.59% (-0.113 -0.11)
0-3 @ 1.45% (-0.159 -0.16)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 26.01%

Head to Head
Dec 30, 2022 7.45pm
Dec 26, 2022 2.30pm
Pen-y-Bont
1-3
Cardiff MU
Owen (60')
Chubb (10'), Jones (62'), Baker (77')
Craven (67')
Nov 9, 2021 7.45pm
Pen-y-Bont
2-1
Cardiff MU
Davies (63'), Harling (79')
Davies (11')
Evans (33'), Evans (43'), McCarthy (58')
Aug 31, 2021 7.45pm
Cardiff MU
3-2
Pen-y-Bont
Roscrow (36'), Evans (55' pen.), Owen (64')
Lang (89')
Wood (4'), Clutton (90')
Davies (52'), Clutton (70'), Reynolds (90+4')
Dec 15, 2020 7.45pm
Pen-y-Bont
1-0
Cardiff MU
Harling (30')
Morris (45'), Davies (52'), Harris (54'), Wood (81')

Woolridge (9'), Corsby (53')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont1611413292337
2The New SaintsNew Saints14110341142733
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest168532081229
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU167452320325
5Barry Town UnitedBarry167452528-325
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon167362324-124
7Bala TownBala Town164932218421
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay165472018219
9Newtown AFCNewtown165472133-1219
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1632111834-1611
11Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1631121439-2510
12Briton Ferry1422101529-148


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