MX23RW : Thursday, November 7 17:42:39| >> :300:86500:86500:
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 4
Mar 11, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
The KYMCO Stadium

Pen-y-Bont
1 - 1
Connah's Quay

Owen (81' pen.)
Evans (55'), Owen (77')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Nash (65')
Wilde (42'), Kenny (55'), Stratulis (72'), Stratulis (73'), Morris (89')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Pen-y-Bont and Connah's Quay Nomads.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: New Saints 1-1 Pen-y-Bont
Saturday, February 25 at 12.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Connah's Quay 2-1 Cardiff MU
Saturday, February 25 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 48.71%. A win for Pen-y-Bont had a probability of 25.91% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.37%) and 0-2 (8.84%). The likeliest Pen-y-Bont win was 1-0 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.

Result
Pen-y-BontDrawConnah's Quay Nomads
25.91% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01) 25.38% (-0.074000000000002 -0.07) 48.71% (0.086000000000006 0.09)
Both teams to score 51.52% (0.216 0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.48% (0.287 0.29)51.52% (-0.286 -0.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.68% (0.25 0.25)73.32% (-0.247 -0.25)
Pen-y-Bont Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.36% (0.14700000000001 0.15)34.64% (-0.144 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.63% (0.154 0.15)71.37% (-0.15000000000001 -0.15)
Connah's Quay Nomads Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.83% (0.15599999999999 0.16)21.17% (-0.153 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.97% (0.24 0.24)54.03% (-0.237 -0.24)
Score Analysis
    Pen-y-Bont 25.91%
    Connah's Quay Nomads 48.71%
    Draw 25.38%
Pen-y-BontDrawConnah's Quay Nomads
1-0 @ 7.77% (-0.058000000000001 -0.06)
2-1 @ 6.4% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-0 @ 4.12% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.26% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.76% (0.017 0.02)
3-0 @ 1.46% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 25.91%
1-1 @ 12.07% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 7.33% (-0.084000000000001 -0.08)
2-2 @ 4.97% (0.028 0.03)
3-3 @ 0.91% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.38%
0-1 @ 11.38% (-0.08 -0.08)
1-2 @ 9.37% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
0-2 @ 8.84% (-0.017999999999999 -0.02)
1-3 @ 4.85% (0.031 0.03)
0-3 @ 4.58% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.57% (0.027 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.88% (0.021 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.78% (0.013 0.01)
2-4 @ 1% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 48.71%

Head to Head
Oct 22, 2022 2.30pm
Pen-y-Bont
0-1
Connah's Quay
Hayes (73')
Nash (10')
Sep 3, 2022 2.30pm
Connah's Quay
2-0
Pen-y-Bont
Horan (38'), Hayes (75')
Mendes (74'), Harrington (88'), Franklin (89'), Holmes (90+3')

Wood (81')
Apr 15, 2022 2.30pm
Connah's Quay
1-0
Pen-y-Bont
Georgievsky (90' og.)
Gosset (20'), Donohue (20'), Edwards (90+3')
Mar 5, 2022 2.30pm
Pen-y-Bont
0-3
Connah's Quay

MacDonald (21'), (51'), Reynolds (86'), D. Wood (90+1')
Thomas (15'), Hayes (37', 85')
Nov 20, 2021 2.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont1510412982134
2The New SaintsNew Saints13100339132630
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest158521961329
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU157352017324
5Barry Town UnitedBarry156452226-422
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon156362224-221
7Bala TownBala Town154831915420
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay155461815319
9Newtown AFCNewtown155462030-1019
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1532101731-1411
11Briton Ferry132291528-138
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1521121138-277


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