MX23RW : Wednesday, December 25 15:50:45| >> :300:86500:86500:
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 22
Jan 28, 2023 at 3pm UK
The KYMCO Stadium
Newtown logo

Pen-y-Bont
3 - 0
Newtown

Georgievsky (17'), Reynolds (41'), Wood (44')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Rushton (3')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Pen-y-Bont and Newtown AFC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Pen-y-Bont

All competitions
Last Game: Aberystwyth 0-3 Pen-y-Bont
Tuesday, January 10 at 8pm in Welsh Premier League

Newtown AFC

All competitions
Last Game: Newtown 0-0 Connah's Quay
Saturday, January 7 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pen-y-Bont win with a probability of 50.82%. A win for Newtown AFC had a probability of 26.81% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pen-y-Bont win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.54%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest Newtown AFC win was 1-2 (6.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pen-y-Bont would win this match.

Result
Pen-y-BontDrawNewtown AFC
50.82% (-1.205 -1.21) 22.37% (0.541 0.54) 26.81% (0.659 0.66)
Both teams to score 62.46% (-1.352 -1.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.53% (-2.05 -2.05)37.47% (2.045 2.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.31% (-2.236 -2.24)59.69% (2.234 2.23)
Pen-y-Bont Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.01% (-1.123 -1.12)14.99% (1.118 1.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.57% (-2.168 -2.17)43.43% (2.165 2.17)
Newtown AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.48% (-0.616 -0.62)26.52% (0.612 0.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.28% (-0.823 -0.82)61.72% (0.819 0.82)
Score Analysis
    Pen-y-Bont 50.82%
    Newtown AFC 26.81%
    Draw 22.36%
Pen-y-BontDrawNewtown AFC
2-1 @ 9.5% (0.032 0.03)
1-0 @ 7.54% (0.445 0.44)
2-0 @ 7.16% (0.147 0.15)
3-1 @ 6.01% (-0.225 -0.23)
3-0 @ 4.53% (-0.088 -0.09)
3-2 @ 3.99% (-0.222 -0.22)
4-1 @ 2.85% (-0.228 -0.23)
4-0 @ 2.15% (-0.131 -0.13)
4-2 @ 1.89% (-0.187 -0.19)
5-1 @ 1.08% (-0.134 -0.13)
Other @ 4.11%
Total : 50.82%
1-1 @ 10.01% (0.422 0.42)
2-2 @ 6.31% (-0.089 -0.09)
0-0 @ 3.98% (0.382 0.38)
3-3 @ 1.77% (-0.131 -0.13)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 22.36%
1-2 @ 6.65% (0.17 0.17)
0-1 @ 5.28% (0.423 0.42)
0-2 @ 3.5% (0.224 0.22)
1-3 @ 2.94% (0.025 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.79% (-0.089 -0.09)
0-3 @ 1.55% (0.073 0.07)
1-4 @ 0.98% (-0.009 -0.01)
2-4 @ 0.93% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 26.81%

Head to Head
Sep 17, 2022 5.15pm
Newtown
2-3
Pen-y-Bont
Williams (58', 66')
Hughes (21')
Whitmore (33'), D. Wood (45+3' pen.), Snaith (64')
Apr 5, 2022 7.45pm
Pen-y-Bont
0-2
Newtown

Harling (29'), Borge (40'), Whitmore (59'), Owen (63'), Snaith (90+2')
Williams (41'), Mwandwe (61')
Taylor (23'), Arsan (29')
Mar 22, 2022 7.45pm
Newtown
1-2
Pen-y-Bont
Mwandwe (3')
Roberts (56'), Ismail (82'), Walker (89'), Mwandwe (90')
MacDonald (15'), Snaith (54')
Davies (30'), (90+1')
Oct 9, 2021 2.30pm
Newtown
3-1
Pen-y-Bont
Williams (17' pen.), Rushton (39', 74')
Roberts (41'), Mwandwe (45'), Rushton (58'), (79'), (84')
Watts (68')
D. Wood (38'), Harling (41'), Davies (43'), Jefferies (73')
Aug 21, 2021 2.30pm
Pen-y-Bont
1-1
Newtown
Snaith (15')
Evans (51'), Walsh (84'), Waite (90')
Williams (43')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont18124235122340
2The New SaintsNew Saints18130550222839
3Cardiff MUCardiff MU199462922731
4Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest188642091130
5Bala TownBala Town1961032619728
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon198472830-228
7Barry Town UnitedBarry198473035-528
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay186572419523
9Newtown AFCNewtown185492238-1619
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1952122337-1417
11Briton Ferry1842122338-1514
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1941141746-2913
> Welsh Premier League Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!