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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 22
Jan 28, 2023 at 3pm UK
The KYMCO Stadium
Newtown logo

Pen-y-Bont
3 - 0
Newtown

Georgievsky (17'), Reynolds (41'), Wood (44')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Rushton (3')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Pen-y-Bont and Newtown AFC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Aberystwyth 0-3 Pen-y-Bont
Tuesday, January 10 at 8pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Newtown 0-0 Connah's Quay
Saturday, January 7 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pen-y-Bont win with a probability of 50.82%. A win for Newtown AFC had a probability of 26.81% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pen-y-Bont win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.54%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest Newtown AFC win was 1-2 (6.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pen-y-Bont would win this match.

Result
Pen-y-BontDrawNewtown AFC
50.82% (-1.205 -1.21) 22.37% (0.541 0.54) 26.81% (0.659 0.66)
Both teams to score 62.46% (-1.352 -1.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.53% (-2.05 -2.05)37.47% (2.045 2.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.31% (-2.236 -2.24)59.69% (2.234 2.23)
Pen-y-Bont Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.01% (-1.123 -1.12)14.99% (1.118 1.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.57% (-2.168 -2.17)43.43% (2.165 2.17)
Newtown AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.48% (-0.616 -0.62)26.52% (0.612 0.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.28% (-0.823 -0.82)61.72% (0.819 0.82)
Score Analysis
    Pen-y-Bont 50.82%
    Newtown AFC 26.81%
    Draw 22.36%
Pen-y-BontDrawNewtown AFC
2-1 @ 9.5% (0.032 0.03)
1-0 @ 7.54% (0.445 0.44)
2-0 @ 7.16% (0.147 0.15)
3-1 @ 6.01% (-0.225 -0.23)
3-0 @ 4.53% (-0.088 -0.09)
3-2 @ 3.99% (-0.222 -0.22)
4-1 @ 2.85% (-0.228 -0.23)
4-0 @ 2.15% (-0.131 -0.13)
4-2 @ 1.89% (-0.187 -0.19)
5-1 @ 1.08% (-0.134 -0.13)
Other @ 4.11%
Total : 50.82%
1-1 @ 10.01% (0.422 0.42)
2-2 @ 6.31% (-0.089 -0.09)
0-0 @ 3.98% (0.382 0.38)
3-3 @ 1.77% (-0.131 -0.13)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 22.36%
1-2 @ 6.65% (0.17 0.17)
0-1 @ 5.28% (0.423 0.42)
0-2 @ 3.5% (0.224 0.22)
1-3 @ 2.94% (0.025 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.79% (-0.089 -0.09)
0-3 @ 1.55% (0.073 0.07)
1-4 @ 0.98% (-0.009 -0.01)
2-4 @ 0.93% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 26.81%

Head to Head
Sep 17, 2022 5.15pm
Newtown
2-3
Pen-y-Bont
Williams (58', 66')
Hughes (21')
Whitmore (33'), D. Wood (45+3' pen.), Snaith (64')
Apr 5, 2022 7.45pm
Pen-y-Bont
0-2
Newtown

Harling (29'), Borge (40'), Whitmore (59'), Owen (63'), Snaith (90+2')
Williams (41'), Mwandwe (61')
Taylor (23'), Arsan (29')
Mar 22, 2022 7.45pm
Newtown
1-2
Pen-y-Bont
Mwandwe (3')
Roberts (56'), Ismail (82'), Walker (89'), Mwandwe (90')
MacDonald (15'), Snaith (54')
Davies (30'), (90+1')
Oct 9, 2021 2.30pm
Newtown
3-1
Pen-y-Bont
Williams (17' pen.), Rushton (39', 74')
Roberts (41'), Mwandwe (45'), Rushton (58'), (79'), (84')
Watts (68')
D. Wood (38'), Harling (41'), Davies (43'), Jefferies (73')
Aug 21, 2021 2.30pm
Pen-y-Bont
1-1
Newtown
Snaith (15')
Evans (51'), Walsh (84'), Waite (90')
Williams (43')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Round
1The New SaintsNew Saints30240684295572
2Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont30187551282361
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest301311637221550
4Caernarfon TownCaernarfon30136115047345
5Cardiff MUCardiff MU30127114143-243
6Bala TownBala Town30713103439-534
Relegation Round
1Barry Town UnitedBarry30137104851-346
2Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay301251346321441
3Flint Town UnitedFlint Town30113164261-1936
4Briton Ferry3095164558-1332
5Newtown AFCNewtown3068163458-2426
6Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth3052232468-4417
 
Regular Season
1The New SaintsNew Saints22170561263551
2Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont22155242162650
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest22117429111840
4Caernarfon TownCaernarfon2210483535034
5Bala TownBala Town2271142821732
6Cardiff MUCardiff MU229583229332
7Barry Town UnitedBarry228683238-630
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay2275103226626
9Briton Ferry2263133345-1221
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town2262142747-2020
11Newtown AFCNewtown2254132446-2219
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth2242161853-3514


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