Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Pen-y-Bont and Newtown AFC.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Aberystwyth 0-3 Pen-y-Bont
Tuesday, January 10 at 8pm in Welsh Premier League
Tuesday, January 10 at 8pm in Welsh Premier League
Goals
for
for
34
Last Game: Newtown 0-0 Connah's Quay
Saturday, January 7 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Saturday, January 7 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pen-y-Bont win with a probability of 50.82%. A win for Newtown AFC had a probability of 26.81% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pen-y-Bont win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.54%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest Newtown AFC win was 1-2 (6.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pen-y-Bont would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Pen-y-Bont | Draw | Newtown AFC |
50.82% ( -1.21) | 22.37% ( 0.54) | 26.81% ( 0.66) |
| Both teams to score 62.46% ( -1.35) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.53% ( -2.05) | 37.47% ( 2.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.31% ( -2.24) | 59.69% ( 2.23) |
| Pen-y-Bont Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.01% ( -1.12) | 14.99% ( 1.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 56.57% ( -2.17) | 43.43% ( 2.17) |
| Newtown AFC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.48% ( -0.62) | 26.52% ( 0.61) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.28% ( -0.82) | 61.72% ( 0.82) |
| Score Analysis |
Pen-y-Bont 50.82%
Newtown AFC 26.81%
Draw 22.36%
| Pen-y-Bont | Draw | Newtown AFC |
| 2-1 @ 9.5% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 7.54% ( 0.44)2-0 @ 7.16% ( 0.15)3-1 @ 6.01% ( -0.23)3-0 @ 4.53% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 3.99% ( -0.22)4-1 @ 2.85% ( -0.23)4-0 @ 2.15% ( -0.13)4-2 @ 1.89% ( -0.19)5-1 @ 1.08% ( -0.13)Other @ 4.11% Total : 50.82% | 1-1 @ 10.01% ( 0.42) 2-2 @ 6.31% ( -0.09)0-0 @ 3.98% ( 0.38)3-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.13)Other @ 0.31% Total : 22.36% | 1-2 @ 6.65% ( 0.17) 0-1 @ 5.28% ( 0.42)0-2 @ 3.5% ( 0.22)1-3 @ 2.94% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.79% ( -0.09)0-3 @ 1.55% ( 0.07)1-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.21% Total : 26.81% |
Head to Head
Sep 17, 2022 5.15pm
Newtown
2-3
Pen-y-Bont
Williams (58', 66')
Hughes (21')
Hughes (21')
Whitmore (33'), D. Wood (45+3' pen.), Snaith (64')
Apr 5, 2022 7.45pm
Pen-y-Bont
0-2
Newtown
Harling (29'), Borge (40'), Whitmore (59'), Owen (63'), Snaith (90+2')
Williams (41'), Mwandwe (61')
Taylor (23'), Arsan (29')
Taylor (23'), Arsan (29')
Mar 22, 2022 7.45pm
Newtown
1-2
Pen-y-Bont
MacDonald (15'), Snaith (54')
Davies (30'), (90+1')
Davies (30'), (90+1')
Oct 9, 2021 2.30pm
Newtown
3-1
Pen-y-Bont
Watts (68')
D. Wood (38'), Harling (41'), Davies (43'), Jefferies (73')
D. Wood (38'), Harling (41'), Davies (43'), Jefferies (73')
Aug 21, 2021 2.30pm
Form Guide
