MX23RW : Tuesday, December 24 02:01:56| >> :300:86500:86500:
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 22
Jan 31, 2023 at 8.15pm UK
New Bridge Meadow Stadium

Haverfordwest
2 - 1
Connah's Quay

FT
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Haverfordwest County and Connah's Quay Nomads.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: New Saints 3-1 Haverfordwest
Saturday, January 7 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Bala Town 0-0 Connah's Quay
Tuesday, January 10 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 53.23%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Haverfordwest County had a probability of 22.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.69%) and 0-2 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.47%), while for a Haverfordwest County win it was 1-0 (6.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result
Haverfordwest CountyDrawConnah's Quay Nomads
22.63% (2.419 2.42) 24.14% (0.628 0.63) 53.23% (-3.055 -3.06)
Both teams to score 51.88% (1.411 1.41)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.64% (0.194 0.19)49.35% (-0.202 -0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.59% (0.174 0.17)71.4% (-0.18300000000001 -0.18)
Haverfordwest County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.64% (2.524 2.52)36.35% (-2.531 -2.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.85% (2.468 2.47)73.14% (-2.476 -2.48)
Connah's Quay Nomads Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.51% (-1.064 -1.06)18.48% (1.057 1.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.31% (-1.823 -1.82)49.68% (1.815 1.82)
Score Analysis
    Haverfordwest County 22.63%
    Connah's Quay Nomads 53.22%
    Draw 24.13%
Haverfordwest CountyDrawConnah's Quay Nomads
1-0 @ 6.8% (0.399 0.4)
2-1 @ 5.81% (0.526 0.53)
2-0 @ 3.44% (0.417 0.42)
3-1 @ 1.96% (0.296 0.3)
3-2 @ 1.65% (0.201 0.2)
3-0 @ 1.16% (0.208 0.21)
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 22.63%
1-1 @ 11.47% (0.29 0.29)
0-0 @ 6.72% (-0.056 -0.06)
2-2 @ 4.9% (0.289 0.29)
3-3 @ 0.93% (0.085 0.09)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.13%
0-1 @ 11.34% (-0.49 -0.49)
1-2 @ 9.69% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-2 @ 9.58% (-0.763 -0.76)
1-3 @ 5.45% (-0.237 -0.24)
0-3 @ 5.39% (-0.635 -0.64)
2-3 @ 2.76% (0.071 0.07)
1-4 @ 2.3% (-0.184 -0.18)
0-4 @ 2.28% (-0.357 -0.36)
2-4 @ 1.17% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 53.22%

Head to Head
Oct 1, 2022 2.30pm
Connah's Quay
1-0
Haverfordwest
Franklin (56')

Rees (77')
Apr 18, 2022 2.30pm
Connah's Quay
3-0
Haverfordwest
Morris (30' pen., 44'), Poole (57')
Disney (9'), Mello (59'), Owens (85')
Dec 18, 2021 2.30pm
Oct 2, 2021 2.30pm
Haverfordwest
1-1
Connah's Quay
Fawcett (88')
Jones-Thomas (88')
Morris (34' pen.)
Mar 20, 2021 2.30pm
Connah's Quay
2-0
Haverfordwest
Horan (45+1'), Wilde (59')
Disney (52'), Harrison (90')

Watts (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont18124235122340
2The New SaintsNew Saints18130550222839
3Cardiff MUCardiff MU199462922731
4Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest188642091130
5Bala TownBala Town1961032619728
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon198472830-228
7Barry Town UnitedBarry198473035-528
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay186572419523
9Newtown AFCNewtown185492238-1619
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1952122337-1417
11Briton Ferry1842122338-1514
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1941141746-2913


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