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Bala Town logo
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 18
Jan 10, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Maes Tegid

Bala Town
0 - 0
Connah's Quay


Kay (38'), Peate (85')
FT
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Bala Town and Connah's Quay Nomads.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bala Town 3-0 Pontypridd
Saturday, January 7 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Newtown 0-0 Connah's Quay
Saturday, January 7 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bala Town win with a probability of 40.01%. A win for Connah's Quay Nomads had a probability of 32.37% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bala Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.3%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest Connah's Quay Nomads win was 0-1 (10.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.

Result
Bala TownDrawConnah's Quay Nomads
40.01% (6.224 6.22) 27.62% (-0.37 -0.37) 32.37% (-5.854 -5.85)
Both teams to score 48.45% (0.786 0.79)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.78% (1.126 1.13)57.21% (-1.126 -1.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.93% (0.889 0.89)78.07% (-0.89 -0.89)
Bala Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.03% (4.379 4.38)27.97% (-4.378 -4.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.39% (5.252 5.25)63.61% (-5.253 -5.25)
Connah's Quay Nomads Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.26% (-3.191 -3.19)32.74% (3.191 3.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.71% (-3.723 -3.72)69.29% (3.723 3.72)
Score Analysis
    Bala Town 40%
    Connah's Quay Nomads 32.37%
    Draw 27.61%
Bala TownDrawConnah's Quay Nomads
1-0 @ 11.66% (0.88 0.88)
2-1 @ 8.3% (0.876 0.88)
2-0 @ 7.43% (1.344 1.34)
3-1 @ 3.52% (0.732 0.73)
3-0 @ 3.16% (0.866 0.87)
3-2 @ 1.97% (0.265 0.27)
4-1 @ 1.12% (0.334 0.33)
4-0 @ 1.01% (0.359 0.36)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 40%
1-1 @ 13.02% (-0.13 -0.13)
0-0 @ 9.16% (-0.401 -0.4)
2-2 @ 4.63% (0.109 0.11)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 27.61%
0-1 @ 10.22% (-1.43 -1.43)
1-2 @ 7.27% (-0.744 -0.74)
0-2 @ 5.71% (-1.395 -1.4)
1-3 @ 2.71% (-0.551 -0.55)
0-3 @ 2.13% (-0.762 -0.76)
2-3 @ 1.73% (-0.114 -0.11)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 32.37%

How you voted: Bala Town vs Connah's Quay

Bala Town
22.2%
Draw
55.6%
Connah's Quay Nomads
22.2%
9
Head to Head
Aug 30, 2022 7.45pm
Connah's Quay
1-0
Bala Town
Stratulis (23')

Kay (61'), Southern (83')
Kay (70'), Southern (90')
Mar 25, 2022 7.45pm
Bala Town
2-0
Connah's Quay
Ebbe (45+2'), Shannon (90+5')
Nov 5, 2021 7.45pm
Bala Town
0-4
Connah's Quay

Ramsey (45'), (63'), Shannon (65')
Venables (62'), Smith (75')
Morris (3' pen., 59'), Curran (24'), Harrington (49')
Eardley (11')
Sep 18, 2021 2.30pm
Connah's Quay
0-1
Bala Town

Moore (82'), Edwards (90+4')
Horan (27')
Edwards (29')
Apr 28, 2021 7.45pm
Bala Town
2-1
Connah's Quay
Horan (18' og.), Jones (72')
Shannon (32'), Smith (54'), Ramsey (78'), Kay (88'), Smith (90+3')
Peate (78')
Morris (80' pen.)
Poole (75')
rhs 2.0
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