Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 18
Jan 10, 2023 at 8pm UK
Park Avenue Ground
Aberystwyth0 - 3Pen-y-Bont
Litchfield (48'), Thorn (59')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Aberystwyth Town and Pen-y-Bont.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Flint Town 1-1 Aberystwyth
Friday, January 6 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Friday, January 6 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Goals
for
for
21
Last Game: Pen-y-Bont 5-1 Caernarfon
Saturday, January 7 at 12.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Saturday, January 7 at 12.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Goals
for
for
31
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pen-y-Bont win with a probability of 57.23%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 20.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pen-y-Bont win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.9%) and 0-2 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.66%), while for an Aberystwyth Town win it was 1-0 (5.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pen-y-Bont would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Aberystwyth Town | Draw | Pen-y-Bont |
20.24% ( 0.15) | 22.52% ( 0.01) | 57.23% ( -0.17) |
| Both teams to score 53.63% ( 0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
