MX23RW : Saturday, November 23 15:38:12| >> :300:86500:86500:
Newtown logo
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 1
Feb 11, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
G.F. Grigg Latham Park

Newtown
1 - 1
Connah's Quay

Robles (6')
Hughes (23'), Mwandwe (27')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Wilde (90')
Bratley (42')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Newtown AFC and Connah's Quay Nomads.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Pen-y-Bont 3-0 Newtown
Saturday, January 28 at 3pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Haverfordwest 2-1 Connah's Quay
Tuesday, January 31 at 8.15pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 47.26%. A win for Newtown AFC had a probability of 27.2% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.28%) and 0-2 (8.48%). The likeliest Newtown AFC win was 1-0 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.

Result
Newtown AFCDrawConnah's Quay Nomads
27.2% (-0.114 -0.11) 25.54% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07) 47.26% (0.183 0.18)
Both teams to score 52.08% (0.122 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.7% (0.201 0.2)51.3% (-0.198 -0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.87% (0.175 0.18)73.13% (-0.172 -0.17)
Newtown AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.52% (0.016999999999996 0.02)33.47% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.89% (0.019000000000002 0.02)70.11% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Connah's Quay Nomads Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.29% (0.166 0.17)21.71% (-0.163 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.13% (0.252 0.25)54.87% (-0.25 -0.25)
Score Analysis
    Newtown AFC 27.2%
    Connah's Quay Nomads 47.26%
    Draw 25.53%
Newtown AFCDrawConnah's Quay Nomads
1-0 @ 7.95% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-1 @ 6.65% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-0 @ 4.35% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-1 @ 2.43% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 1.85% (0.006 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.59% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 27.2%
1-1 @ 12.14% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 7.27% (-0.058 -0.06)
2-2 @ 5.08% (0.013 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.94% (0.0079999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.53%
0-1 @ 11.1% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
1-2 @ 9.28% (0.020999999999999 0.02)
0-2 @ 8.48% (0.016 0.02)
1-3 @ 4.72% (0.034 0.03)
0-3 @ 4.32% (0.03 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.59% (0.02 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.8% (0.022 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.65% (0.019 0.02)
2-4 @ 0.99% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 47.26%

Head to Head
Jan 7, 2023 2.30pm
Newtown
0-0
Connah's Quay

Sears (88'), Roberts (90+3')

Malkin (34')
Oct 28, 2022 7.45pm
Connah's Quay
3-1
Newtown
Morris (27' pen.), Wilde (43'), Hayes (65')
Wilde (35')
Williams (82')
Apr 9, 2022 2.30pm
Newtown
1-0
Connah's Quay
Mwandwe (38')
Ismail (29')

Donohue (38')
Mar 11, 2022 7.45pm
Connah's Quay
0-4
Newtown

Edwards (23'), Gosset (72')
Rushton (34'), Williams (48', 51'), Breese (90+4')
Mwandwe (9')
Feb 26, 2022 12.45pm
Newtown
0-2
Connah's Quay

Sears (20'), Williams (35'), Walker (44'), Roberts (83'), Hughes (89')
Sears (37')
Morris (25' pen.), Curran (69')
Curran (22'), Poole (63')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont1611413292337
2The New SaintsNew Saints15110442172533
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest168532081229
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU167452320325
5Barry Town UnitedBarry167452528-325
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon167362324-124
7Bala TownBala Town164932218421
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay165472018219
9Newtown AFCNewtown165472133-1219
10Briton Ferry1532101830-1211
11Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1632111834-1611
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1631121439-2510


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