MX23RW : Sunday, January 26 06:31:51| >> :300:86500:86500:
Newtown logo
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 1
Feb 11, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
G.F. Grigg Latham Park

Newtown
1 - 1
Connah's Quay

Robles (6')
Hughes (23'), Mwandwe (27')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Wilde (90')
Bratley (42')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Newtown AFC and Connah's Quay Nomads.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Pen-y-Bont 3-0 Newtown
Saturday, January 28 at 3pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Haverfordwest 2-1 Connah's Quay
Tuesday, January 31 at 8.15pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 47.26%. A win for Newtown AFC had a probability of 27.2% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.28%) and 0-2 (8.48%). The likeliest Newtown AFC win was 1-0 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.

Result
Newtown AFCDrawConnah's Quay Nomads
27.2% (-0.114 -0.11) 25.54% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07) 47.26% (0.183 0.18)
Both teams to score 52.08% (0.122 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.7% (0.201 0.2)51.3% (-0.198 -0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.87% (0.175 0.18)73.13% (-0.172 -0.17)
Newtown AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.52% (0.016999999999996 0.02)33.47% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.89% (0.019000000000002 0.02)70.11% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Connah's Quay Nomads Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.29% (0.166 0.17)21.71% (-0.163 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.13% (0.252 0.25)54.87% (-0.25 -0.25)
Score Analysis
    Newtown AFC 27.2%
    Connah's Quay Nomads 47.26%
    Draw 25.53%
Newtown AFCDrawConnah's Quay Nomads
1-0 @ 7.95% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-1 @ 6.65% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-0 @ 4.35% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-1 @ 2.43% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 1.85% (0.006 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.59% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 27.2%
1-1 @ 12.14% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 7.27% (-0.058 -0.06)
2-2 @ 5.08% (0.013 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.94% (0.0079999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.53%
0-1 @ 11.1% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
1-2 @ 9.28% (0.020999999999999 0.02)
0-2 @ 8.48% (0.016 0.02)
1-3 @ 4.72% (0.034 0.03)
0-3 @ 4.32% (0.03 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.59% (0.02 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.8% (0.022 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.65% (0.019 0.02)
2-4 @ 0.99% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 47.26%

Head to Head
Jan 7, 2023 2.30pm
Newtown
0-0
Connah's Quay

Sears (88'), Roberts (90+3')

Malkin (34')
Oct 28, 2022 7.45pm
Connah's Quay
3-1
Newtown
Morris (27' pen.), Wilde (43'), Hayes (65')
Wilde (35')
Williams (82')
Apr 9, 2022 2.30pm
Newtown
1-0
Connah's Quay
Mwandwe (38')
Ismail (29')

Donohue (38')
Mar 11, 2022 7.45pm
Connah's Quay
0-4
Newtown

Edwards (23'), Gosset (72')
Rushton (34'), Williams (48', 51'), Breese (90+4')
Mwandwe (9')
Feb 26, 2022 12.45pm
Newtown
0-2
Connah's Quay

Sears (20'), Williams (35'), Walker (44'), Roberts (83'), Hughes (89')
Sears (37')
Morris (25' pen.), Curran (69')
Curran (22'), Poole (63')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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@
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11.30pm
Bills
@
Chiefs
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Round
1The New SaintsNew Saints22170561263551
2Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont23155343182550
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest23127432131943
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU2310583430435
5Caernarfon TownCaernarfon2210483535034
6Bala TownBala Town2371153024632
Relegation Round
1Barry Town UnitedBarry239683439-533
2Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay2375113328526
3Flint Town UnitedFlint Town2372142948-1923
4Briton Ferry2364133547-1222
5Newtown AFCNewtown2355132648-2220
6Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth2342171955-3614
 
Regular Season
1The New SaintsNew Saints22170561263551
2Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont22155242162650
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest22117429111840
4Caernarfon TownCaernarfon2210483535034
5Bala TownBala Town2271142821732
6Cardiff MUCardiff MU229583229332
7Barry Town UnitedBarry228683238-630
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay2275103226626
9Briton Ferry2263133345-1221
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town2262142747-2020
11Newtown AFCNewtown2254132446-2219
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth2242161853-3514


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