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Women's Super League | Gameweek 4
Oct 2, 2021 at 5.15pm UK
Trevor Brown Memorial Ground

Aston Villa
0 - 4
Arsenal Women


Pacheco (57')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Little (51', 90+2'), Iwabuchi (80'), McCabe (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Women's Super League clash between Aston Villa Women and Arsenal Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Women win with a probability of 89.45%. A draw had a probability of 7.5% and a win for Aston Villa Women had a probability of 3.06%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Women win was 0-3 with a probability of 12.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.62%) and 0-4 (10.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.52%), while for an Aston Villa Women win it was 1-0 (1.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arsenal Women would win this match.

Result
Aston Villa WomenDrawArsenal Women
3.06%7.48%89.45%
Both teams to score 42.27%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
76.63%23.37%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
57.2%42.79%
Aston Villa Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
43.64%56.36%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
11.32%88.68%
Arsenal Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
96.85%3.15%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
85.95%14.04%
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa Women 3.06%
    Arsenal Women 89.44%
    Draw 7.48%
Aston Villa WomenDrawArsenal Women
1-0 @ 1.02%
2-1 @ 1.01%
Other @ 1.04%
Total : 3.06%
1-1 @ 3.52%
0-0 @ 1.77%
2-2 @ 1.75%
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 7.48%
0-3 @ 12.26%
0-2 @ 10.62%
0-4 @ 10.61%
0-5 @ 7.35%
1-3 @ 7.03%
0-1 @ 6.14%
1-2 @ 6.09%
1-4 @ 6.09%
0-6 @ 4.24%
1-5 @ 4.21%
1-6 @ 2.43%
0-7 @ 2.1%
2-3 @ 2.02%
2-4 @ 1.75%
2-5 @ 1.21%
1-7 @ 1.2%
0-8 @ 0.91%
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 89.44%

How you voted: Aston Villa vs Arsenal Women

Aston Villa Women
0.0%
Draw
10.0%
Arsenal Women
90.0%
10
Head to Head
May 9, 2021 2.30pm
Feb 28, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 8
Aston Villa
0-4
Arsenal Women

Hanssen (85')
Miedema (58'), Nobbs (67'), McCabe (73'), Evans (88')
rhs 2.0
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