MX23RW : Sunday, October 6 10:38:52| >> :60:987:987:
Women's FA Cup | Semi-Finals
Apr 16, 2023 at 2.15pm UK
Poundland Bescot Stadium

Aston Villa
0 - 1
Chelsea Women

FT(HT: 0-0)
Kerr (59')
Musovic (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Women's FA Cup clash between Aston Villa Women and Chelsea Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Aston Villa 0-3 Chelsea Women
Sunday, April 2 at 6.45pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Aston Villa 0-3 Chelsea Women
Sunday, April 2 at 6.45pm in Women's Super League

We said: Aston Villa Women 0-2 Chelsea Women

Chelsea will go into the semi-final as the favourites, and after claiming a comfortable victory over Aston Villa before the international break, we think that they will have the confidence and belief required to record another win over the Villans on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Women win with a probability of 80.97%. A draw had a probability of 12.6% and a win for Aston Villa Women had a probability of 6.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Women win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (11.32%) and 0-1 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.95%), while for an Aston Villa Women win it was 1-0 (2.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea Women would win this match.

Result
Aston Villa WomenDrawChelsea Women
6.47% (0.0801 0.08) 12.56% (-0.064 -0.06) 80.97% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 45.93% (0.797 0.8)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.9% (0.726 0.73)33.09% (-0.727 -0.73)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.17% (0.82899999999999 0.83)54.83% (-0.829 -0.83)
Aston Villa Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
48.99% (0.776 0.78)51% (-0.776 -0.78)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.65% (0.517 0.52)85.34% (-0.517 -0.52)
Chelsea Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.75% (0.143 0.14)6.25% (-0.1439 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
76.42% (0.399 0.4)23.57% (-0.4 -0.4)
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa Women 6.47%
    Chelsea Women 80.96%
    Draw 12.56%
Aston Villa WomenDrawChelsea Women
1-0 @ 2.15% (-0.033 -0.03)
2-1 @ 2% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 6.47%
1-1 @ 5.95% (-0.043 -0.04)
0-0 @ 3.19% (-0.123 -0.12)
2-2 @ 2.78% (0.066 0.07)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 12.56%
0-2 @ 12.25% (-0.26 -0.26)
0-3 @ 11.32% (-0.15 -0.15)
0-1 @ 8.84% (-0.267 -0.27)
1-2 @ 8.25% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
0-4 @ 7.85% (-0.038 -0.04)
1-3 @ 7.62% (0.072 0.07)
1-4 @ 5.29% (0.094 0.09)
0-5 @ 4.35% (0.015 0.01)
1-5 @ 2.93% (0.076 0.08)
2-3 @ 2.57% (0.082 0.08)
0-6 @ 2.01% (0.024 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.78% (0.071 0.07)
1-6 @ 1.36% (0.046 0.05)
2-5 @ 0.99% (0.047 0.05)
Other @ 3.56%
Total : 80.96%

Head to Head
Apr 2, 2023 6.45pm
Oct 30, 2022 2pm
Chelsea Women
3-1
Aston Villa
James (22', 47'), Kerr (63')
Daly (38')
Brown (45+1')
Mar 13, 2022 1pm
Nov 6, 2021 12.30pm
Mar 28, 2021 2.30pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool76011321118
2Manchester CityMan City7520178917
3Arsenal7520156917
4Chelsea6411157813
5Aston Villa6411129313
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle733187112
7Fulham7322108211
8Tottenham HotspurSpurs6312125710
9Brentford73131313010
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton623110829
11Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest62316519
12West Ham UnitedWest Ham72231011-18
13Bournemouth7223810-28
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd621358-37
15Leicester CityLeicester7133912-36
16Everton7124715-85
17Ipswich TownIpswich7043614-84
18Crystal Palace7034510-53
19Southampton7016415-111
20Wolverhampton WanderersWolves7016921-121


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