International Friendly

Sep 1, 2022 at 2am UK

Mexico
0 - 1
Paraguay

Romo (83')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Gonzalez (50')
Gamarra (90+1')

Coverage of the International Friendlies International Friendly clash between Mexico and Paraguay.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mexico

Last Six:

Last Game: Jamaica 1-1 Mexico
Wednesday, June 15 at 1am in CONCACAF Nations League

Paraguay

Last Six:

Last Game: South Korea 2-2 Paraguay
Friday, June 10 at 12pm in International Friendlies

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Argentina	4	5	10
2	Uruguay	4	2	7
3	Paraguay	4	2	6
4	Chile	4	-1	5
5	Bolivia	4	-8	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 52.76%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Paraguay had a probability of 20.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.88%) and 2-1 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.15%), while for a Paraguay win it was 0-1 (8.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.

Result
Mexico	Draw	Paraguay
52.76% ( 0.12)	26.27% ( 0)	20.97% ( -0.12)

Both teams to score 43.81% (

-0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.06% (

-0.12)

58.94% (

0.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.58% (

-0.1)

79.42% (

0.1)

Mexico Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.52% (

22.49% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.96% (

-0)

56.04% (

Paraguay Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.52% (

-0.2)

43.48% (

0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.31% (

-0.17)

79.69% (

0.17)

Score Analysis

Mexico 52.76%

Paraguay 20.97%

Draw 26.27%

Mexico	Draw	Paraguay
1-0 @ 14.59% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 10.88% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.07% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.42% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.51% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.02% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.88% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.68% ( -0) Other @ 2.72% Total : 52.76%	1-1 @ 12.15% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.78% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 3.78% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.56% Total : 26.27%	0-1 @ 8.14% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.06% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 3.39% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.98% Total : 20.97%