We believe that Mexico have a lot more quality than the Peruvians on paper, but the Gold Cup runners-up have lacked consistency and quality in the final third. On the other side, La Blanquirroja are well organized at the back, and that composure, along with an experienced shot stopper, should be enough to keep El Tri at bay, though we do not anticipate the Peruvians will create much themselves in the attack. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 50.79%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Peru had a probability of 24.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.85%), while for a Peru win it was 0-1 (7.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Mexico in this match.

Result
Mexico	Draw	Peru
50.79% ( -0.34)	24.92% ( 0)	24.29% ( 0.34)

Both teams to score 51.36% (

0.36)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.02% (

0.3)

50.98% (

-0.29)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.15% (

0.26)

72.85% (

-0.26)

Mexico Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.92% (

-0.02)

20.08% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.69% (

-0.03)

52.31% (

0.04)

Peru Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.25% (

0.47)

35.75% (

-0.47)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.48% (

0.48)

72.52% (

-0.47)

Score Analysis

Mexico 50.79%

Peru 24.29%

Draw 24.92%

Mexico	Draw	Peru
1-0 @ 11.52% ( -0.14) 2-1 @ 9.52% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.25% ( -0.12) 3-1 @ 5.09% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.95% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.62% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 2.05% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.99% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.05% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.75% Total : 50.79%	1-1 @ 11.85% 0-0 @ 7.18% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 4.9% ( 0.06) Other @ 1% Total : 24.92%	0-1 @ 7.38% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.1% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 3.8% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 2.09% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 1.68% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 1.3% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.94% Total : 24.29%