World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round
Sep 5, 2024 at 11.10am UK
Cbus Super Stadium
Australia0 - 1Bahrain
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Australia 5-0 Palestine
Tuesday, June 11 at 1.10pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Tuesday, June 11 at 1.10pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Australia | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Uzbekistan | 3 | 3 | 5 |
| 3 | Syria | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | India | 3 | -6 | 0 |
We said: Australia 3-1 Bahrain
Although we expect Bahrain to pose Australia far more of a challenge than the Socceroos faced in the previous round, the home side should still have far too much quality on the Gold Coast. If Bahrain do get on the scoresheet, it could be a mere consolation at the back end of the game. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Australia win with a probability of 44.35%. A win for Bahrain had a probability of 29.46% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Australia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest Bahrain win was 0-1 (8.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Australia | Draw | Bahrain |
44.35% ( 0.17) | 26.19% ( -0.3) | 29.46% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 51.56% ( 0.98) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
