Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgium win with a probability of 42.46%. A win for Canada had a probability of 31.51% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Belgium win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.85%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest Canada win was 0-1 (8.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Belgium in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Belgium.
-0.24) 
0.09) 
