World Cup

World Cup | Group Stage

Nov 23, 2022 at 7pm UK

Belgium
1 - 0
Canada

Batshuayi (44')
Carrasco (9'), Meunier (53'), Onana (56')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Davies (81'), Johnston (83')

Roberto Martinez, John Herdman react as Belgium edge out Canada at World Cup

Roberto Martinez and John Herdman react as Belgium edge out Canada by a 1-0 scoreline in their World Cup fixture in Al Rayyan.

Nov 23, 22:32

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Belgium

All competitions

Last Game: Belgium 1-2 Egypt
Friday, November 18 at 3pm in International Friendlies

Current Group F Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Croatia	0	0	0
2	Morocco	0	0	0
3	Belgium	0	0	0
4	Canada	0	0	0

Canada

All competitions

Last Game: Japan 1-2 Canada
Thursday, November 17 at 1.40pm in International Friendlies

Current Group F Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Croatia	0	0	0
2	Morocco	0	0	0
3	Belgium	0	0	0
4	Canada	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgium win with a probability of 42.46%. A win for Canada had a probability of 31.51% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Belgium win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.85%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest Canada win was 0-1 (8.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Belgium in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Belgium.

Result
Belgium	Draw	Canada
42.46% ( -0.24)	26.03% ( 0.09)	31.51% ( 0.14)

Both teams to score 53.04% (

-0.25)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.78% (

-0.34)

51.22% (

0.34)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.94% (

-0.3)

73.06% (

0.3)

Belgium Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.07% (

-0.27)

23.93% (

0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.84% (

-0.39)

58.15% (

0.38)

Canada Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.72% (

-0.08)

30.27% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.55% (

-0.09)

66.45% (

0.09)

Score Analysis

Belgium 42.45%

Canada 31.51%

Draw 26.02%

Belgium	Draw	Canada
1-0 @ 10.35% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 8.85% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 7.41% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.22% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 3.53% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.52% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.51% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.26% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 0.9% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.9% Total : 42.45%	1-1 @ 12.37% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 7.24% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 5.29% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.02%	0-1 @ 8.66% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 7.4% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.17% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 2.95% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.11% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.06% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.17% Total : 31.51%