Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Sep 10, 2023 at 5pm UK
Stade Rene Gaillard
Togo3 - 2Cape Verde
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Eswatini 0-2 Togo
Sunday, June 18 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Sunday, June 18 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Congo DR | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Morocco | 3 | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | Ivory Coast | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Togo | 3 | -4 | 1 |
Last Game: Cape Verde 3-1 Burkina Faso
Sunday, June 18 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Sunday, June 18 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Cameroon | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Burkina Faso | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Cape Verde | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Ethiopia | 3 | -4 | 1 |
We said: Togo 1-2 Cape Verde
While Togo have nothing to play for, we expect Cape Verde to come out guns blazing as they look to finish as Group B winners. The Blue Sharks boast a superior and more experienced squad and we fancy them picking up all three points, albeit by the odd goal. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Togo win with a probability of 38.89%. A win for Cape Verde had a probability of 31.68% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Togo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.68%) and 2-0 (7.65%). The likeliest Cape Verde win was 0-1 (11.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.4%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Togo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Togo | Draw | Cape Verde |
38.89% ( 0.23) | 29.43% ( -0.06) | 31.68% ( -0.18) |
| Both teams to score 43.22% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
