World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Nov 17, 2021 at 12.15am UK
Chile0 - 2Ecuador
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chile win with a probability of 57.52%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Ecuador had a probability of 19.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chile win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.7%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.06%), while for a Ecuador win it was 0-1 (6.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Chile | Draw | Ecuador |
| 57.52% | 23.27% | 19.22% |
| Both teams to score 49.63% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
