Friendlies 1
Feb 8, 2025 at 11.30pm UK
Estadio Nacional Julio Martinez Pradanos
Chile6 - 1Panama
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Chile 4-2 Venezuela
Wednesday, November 20 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Wednesday, November 20 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
We said: Chile 2-0 Panama
Judging by the team selections, it appears that Panama want to avoid any key players being injured for their Nations League fixture next month, and we expect to see them struggle against a Chilean side that may have more confidence heading into this clash. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chile win with a probability of 46.82%. A win for Panama had a probability of 27.65% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chile win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 2-0 (8.34%). The likeliest Panama win was 0-1 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chile would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chile | Draw | Panama |
46.82% ( 0.36) | 25.53% ( -0.21) | 27.65% ( -0.15) |
| Both teams to score 52.46% ( 0.54) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
