Despite sitting six points off the top seven, Peru have shown promising signs at home, taking four points off Colombia and Uruguay recently, and against a Chile side in disarray, they will hope they can take advantage to claim a vital three points which could bring them back into contention.
One positive Chile can take into this encounter is that their solitary win so far in the campaign came against Peru last year, but even their most ardent fans will know that is simply clutching at straws, and a sixth straight defeat looks likely.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peru win with a probability of 39.68%. A draw had a probability of 31% and a win for Chile had a probability of 29.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peru win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.18%) and 2-1 (7.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.01%), while for a Chile win it was 0-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 14% likelihood.
0.42) 
-0.86) 
