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Chile national football team
World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Sep 10, 2024 at 10pm UK
Estadio Nacional Julio Martinez Pradanos
Bolivia national football team

Chile
1 - 2
Bolivia

Vargas (39')
Diaz (8'), Pulgar (41'), Catalan (89'), Suazo (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Algaranaz (13'), Terceros (45+1')
Matheus (21'), Suarez (41'), Fernandez (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - South America clash between Chile and Bolivia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Argentina 3-0 Chile
Friday, September 6 at 1am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Bolivia 4-0 Venezuela
Thursday, September 5 at 9pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America

We said: Chile 2-0 Bolivia

Chile have won three of their previous five games against Bolivia, and we think that they will pick up another victory to extend their current unbeaten home run to four World Cup qualifying matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chile win with a probability of 82.3%. A draw had a probability of 11.9% and a win for Bolivia had a probability of 5.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chile win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.83%) and 1-0 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.67%), while for a Bolivia win it was 0-1 (2.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.

Result
ChileDrawBolivia
82.3% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 11.93% (0.167 0.17) 5.77% (-0.153 -0.15)
Both teams to score 44.06% (-1.894 -1.89)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.93% (-1.742 -1.74)33.07% (1.748 1.75)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.19% (-2.028 -2.03)54.81% (2.034 2.03)
Chile Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.01% (-0.33699999999999 -0.34)5.99% (0.343 0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
77.14% (-0.97199999999999 -0.97)22.86% (0.976 0.98)
Bolivia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
46.87% (-1.837 -1.84)53.13% (1.842 1.84)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.27% (-1.193 -1.19)86.73% (1.198 1.2)
Score Analysis
    Chile 82.29%
    Bolivia 5.77%
    Draw 11.93%
ChileDrawBolivia
2-0 @ 12.61% (0.65 0.65)
3-0 @ 11.83% (0.37 0.37)
1-0 @ 8.96% (0.635 0.64)
4-0 @ 8.33% (0.093999999999999 0.09)
2-1 @ 7.98% (-0.013000000000001 -0.01)
3-1 @ 7.48% (-0.168 -0.17)
4-1 @ 5.27% (-0.231 -0.23)
5-0 @ 4.69% (-0.044 -0.04)
5-1 @ 2.96% (-0.195 -0.2)
3-2 @ 2.37% (-0.188 -0.19)
6-0 @ 2.2% (-0.067 -0.07)
4-2 @ 1.67% (-0.17 -0.17)
6-1 @ 1.39% (-0.122 -0.12)
5-2 @ 0.94% (-0.118 -0.12)
Other @ 3.63%
Total : 82.29%
1-1 @ 5.67% (0.108 0.11)
0-0 @ 3.18% (0.287 0.29)
2-2 @ 2.52% (-0.145 -0.15)
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 11.93%
0-1 @ 2.01% (0.078 0.08)
1-2 @ 1.79% (-0.064 -0.06)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 5.77%

How you voted: Chile vs Bolivia

Chile
82.2%
Draw
11.0%
Bolivia
6.8%
73
Head to Head
Jun 21, 2023 1am
Friendlies 1
Bolivia
0-0
Chile
Ursino (24'), Suarez (87')
Delgado (27'), Vidal (41'), Suazo (90+2')
Feb 1, 2022 8.30pm
Group Stage
Bolivia
2-3
Chile
Enoumba (37'), Moreno (88')
Miranda (36'), Moreno (90+2')
Sanchez (14', 86'), Nunez (77')
Kuscevic (30'), Cortes (90+5')
Jun 18, 2021 10pm
Group Stage
Chile
1-0
Bolivia
Brereton (10')
Maripan (81')

Vaca (53'), Bejarano (87')
Jun 9, 2021 2.30am
Group Stage
Chile
1-1
Bolivia
Medel (83'), Pulgar (84')
Vaca (32'), Bejarano (40'), Flores (48'), Justiniano (62')
Mar 27, 2021 1am
Friendlies 1
Chile
2-1
Bolivia
Parra (90+2')
rhs 2.0
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