While Chile were beaten in their opening match, there were several positives they would have taken against a very good-looking Uruguay team.
The hosts would have had a few days to assess where they went wrong, and we expect them to put on a better performance this time around at home by holding the Colombians to a draw for their first point of the competition.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chile win with a probability of 54.32%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Colombia had a probability of 19.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chile win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.54%) and 2-1 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.97%), while for a Colombia win it was 0-1 (8.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
0.21) 
-0.08) 
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