World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage

Nov 21, 2023 at 1pm UK

Stade Ben Ahmed El Abdi

Ethiopia
0 - 3
Burkina Faso

Yesuf (13'), Tilahun (86')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Toure (69'), Traore (78' pen.), Ouattara (90')
Ouattara (71'), Ouedraogo (74')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Ethiopia and Burkina Faso, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ethiopia

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Ethiopia 0-0 Sierra Leone
Wednesday, November 15 at 7pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Cameroon	3	4	7
2	Burkina Faso	3	0	4
3	Cape Verde	3	0	4
4	Ethiopia	3	-4	1

Burkina Faso

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Burkina Faso 1-1 Guinea-Bissau
Friday, November 17 at 7pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Burkina Faso	0	0	0
2	Angola	0	0	0
3	Algeria	0	0	0
4	Mauritania	0	0	0

We said: Ethiopia 0-1 Burkina Faso

Ethiopia will fancy their chances against a Burkina Faso side who have managed just one competitive win in 2023. However, the Stallions boast the firepower needed to get this one over the like and we are tipping them to come out on top in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a draw had a probability of 34.1%. A win for Burkina Faso had a probability of 33.39% and a win for Ethiopia had a probability of 32.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a draw win was 0-0 with a probability of 18.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-1 (13.19%) and 2-2 (2.38%). The likeliest Burkina Faso win was 0-1 (15.68%), while for a Ethiopia win it was 1-0 (15.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Burkina Faso would win this match.

Result
Ethiopia	Draw	Burkina Faso
32.53% ( -0.47)	34.08% ( 0.13)	33.39% ( 0.34)

Both teams to score 32.72% (

-0.26)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

24.21% (

-0.28)

75.78% (

0.28)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

9.28% (

-0.16)

90.72% (

0.16)

Ethiopia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.88% (

-0.54)

43.12% (

0.54)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.61% (

-0.46)

79.39% (

0.45)

Burkina Faso Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.53% (

0.08)

42.47% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.16% (

0.07)

78.84% (

-0.07)

Score Analysis

Ethiopia 32.53%

Burkina Faso 33.38%

Draw 34.08%

Ethiopia	Draw	Burkina Faso
1-0 @ 15.4% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 6.48% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 5.55% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 1.82% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 1.56% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.73% Total : 32.53%	0-0 @ 18.31% ( 0.2) 1-1 @ 13.19% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 2.38% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.2% Total : 34.08%	0-1 @ 15.68% ( 0.2) 0-2 @ 6.72% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 5.65% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.92% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 1.61% ( 0) Other @ 1.81% Total : 33.38%