Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Sep 8, 2023 at 5pm UK
Cairo International Stadium
Egypt1 - 0Ethiopia
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Egypt 3-0 South Sudan
Sunday, June 18 at 6pm in International Friendlies
Sunday, June 18 at 6pm in International Friendlies
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Nigeria | 3 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | Egypt | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Sudan | 3 | -3 | 1 |
| 4 | Guinea-Bissau | 3 | -3 | 1 |
Last Game: Ethiopia 2-0 Guyana
Thursday, August 3 at 12am in International Friendlies
Thursday, August 3 at 12am in International Friendlies
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Cameroon | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Burkina Faso | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Cape Verde | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Ethiopia | 3 | -4 | 1 |
We said: Egypt 3-0 Ethiopia
Egypt head into the weekend as one of the most in-form sides in the qualifiers and will be looking to extend their dominant run against the Wali Ibex. Ethiopia's form on the road also makes Vitoria's men firm on favourites to come out on top and we are backing them to pick up a comfortable victory. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Egypt win with a probability of 74.97%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Ethiopia had a probability of 7.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Egypt win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.16%) and 3-0 (11.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.84%), while for a Ethiopia win it was 0-1 (3.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Egypt would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Egypt | Draw | Ethiopia |
74.97% ( 0.09) | 17.04% ( -0.07) | 7.99% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 37.71% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
