Coverage of the Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying Group Stage clash between Ethiopia and Guinea.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Guinea 2-0 Ethiopia
Friday, March 24 at 8.30pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Friday, March 24 at 8.30pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Cameroon | 3 | 4 | 7 |
2 | Burkina Faso | 3 | 0 | 4 |
3 | Cape Verde | 3 | 0 | 4 |
4 | Ethiopia | 3 | -4 | 1 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ethiopia win with a probability of 50.28%. A draw had a probability of 30.8% and a win for Guinea had a probability of 18.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ethiopia win was 1-0 with a probability of 19.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.73%) and 2-1 (7.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (16.38%), while for a Guinea win it was 0-1 (10.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Ethiopia | Draw | Guinea |
50.28% (![]() | 30.77% (![]() | 18.95% (![]() |
Both teams to score 31.95% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
27.18% (![]() | 72.82% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
11.01% (![]() | 88.99% (![]() |
Ethiopia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.78% (![]() | 30.22% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.62% (![]() | 66.38% (![]() |
Guinea Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
45.78% (![]() | 54.22% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
12.59% (![]() | 87.41% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Ethiopia 50.27%
Guinea 18.94%
Draw 30.77%
Ethiopia | Draw | Guinea |
1-0 @ 19.6% (![]() 2-0 @ 11.73% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 7.18% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 4.68% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 2.87% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.4% ( ![]() Other @ 2.82% Total : 50.27% | 0-0 @ 16.38% (![]() 1-1 @ 12% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 2.2% ( ![]() Other @ 0.19% Total : 30.77% | 0-1 @ 10.02% (![]() 1-2 @ 3.67% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.07% ( ![]() Other @ 2.17% Total : 18.94% |
How you voted: Ethiopia vs Guinea
Ethiopia
57.1%Draw
21.4%Guinea
21.4%14
Head to Head
Mar 24, 2023 8.30pm
Guinea
2-0
Ethiopia
Yohannes (18'), Hamid (25'), Panomo (45')
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-07-02 15:31:37
Tuesday, July 2
5pm
Round of 16
Romania
vs.
Netherlands
8pm
Round of 16
Austria
vs.
Turkey
Friday, July 5
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Spain
vs.
Germany
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Portugal
vs.
France
Saturday, July 6
5pm
Quarter-Finals
England
vs.
Switzerland
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 43
vs.
Winner Match 44
Tuesday, July 9
8pm
Wednesday, July 10
8pm
Sunday, July 14
8pm
![Tables header RHS Tables header RHS](https://sm.imgix.net/23/25/tables-header-rhs.jpg?w=300&h=46)
Group A
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Group D
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
1
![Romania vs. Netherlands - prediction, team news, lineups Romania vs. Netherlands - prediction, team news, lineups](https://sm.imgix.net/11/29/1x1.gif?w=1&h=1)
Romania vs. Netherlands - prediction, team news, lineups
2
![Austria vs. Turkey - prediction, team news, lineups Austria vs. Turkey - prediction, team news, lineups](https://sm.imgix.net/11/29/1x1.gif?w=1&h=1)
Austria vs. Turkey - prediction, team news, lineups
3
![Man City to Chelsea again? Blues 'interested' in 21-year-old midfielder Man City to Chelsea again? Blues 'interested' in 21-year-old midfielder](https://sm.imgix.net/11/29/1x1.gif?w=1&h=1)
Man City to Chelsea again? Blues 'interested' in 21-year-old midfielder
4
![Tuesday's Euro 2024 predictions including Romania vs. Netherlands Tuesday's Euro 2024 predictions including Romania vs. Netherlands](https://sm.imgix.net/11/29/1x1.gif?w=1&h=1)
Tuesday's Euro 2024 predictions including Romania vs. Netherlands
5
![DC United vs. Cincinnati - prediction, team news, lineups DC United vs. Cincinnati - prediction, team news, lineups](https://sm.imgix.net/11/29/1x1.gif?w=1&h=1)
DC United vs. Cincinnati - prediction, team news, lineups
6
![Man United 'told De Ligt asking price' amid five-year contract offer Man United 'told De Ligt asking price' amid five-year contract offer](https://sm.imgix.net/11/29/1x1.gif?w=1&h=1)
Man United 'told De Ligt asking price' amid five-year contract offer
7
![Galway United vs. Bohemians - prediction, team news, lineups Galway United vs. Bohemians - prediction, team news, lineups](https://sm.imgix.net/11/29/1x1.gif?w=1&h=1)
Galway United vs. Bohemians - prediction, team news, lineups
8
![New England vs. Atlanta - prediction, team news, lineups New England vs. Atlanta - prediction, team news, lineups](https://sm.imgix.net/11/29/1x1.gif?w=1&h=1)
New England vs. Atlanta - prediction, team news, lineups
9
![Head turned? Newcastle man 'extremely keen' on Liverpool transfer Head turned? Newcastle man 'extremely keen' on Liverpool transfer](https://sm.imgix.net/11/29/1x1.gif?w=1&h=1)
Head turned? Newcastle man 'extremely keen' on Liverpool transfer
10
![Portugal vs. Slovenia - prediction, team news, lineups Portugal vs. Slovenia - prediction, team news, lineups](https://sm.imgix.net/11/29/1x1.gif?w=1&h=1)
Portugal vs. Slovenia - prediction, team news, lineups
![As featured on NewsNow: Sport news As featured on NewsNow: Sport news](https://sm.imgix.net/12/40/newsnow_f_ab.gif?w=160&h=50)
Sport News 24/7