World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Second Round
Mar 21, 2024 at 10.23am UK
National Olympic Stadium
Japan1 - 0North Korea
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Iran 2-1 Japan
Saturday, February 3 at 11.30am in Asian Cup
Saturday, February 3 at 11.30am in Asian Cup
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Iraq | 3 | 4 | 9 |
| 2 | Japan | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Indonesia | 3 | -3 | 3 |
| 4 | Vietnam | 3 | -4 | 0 |
Last Game: Myanmar 1-6 North Korea
Tuesday, November 21 at 9.30am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Tuesday, November 21 at 9.30am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
| Current Group G Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Brazil | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Portugal | 3 | 7 | 5 |
| 3 | Ivory Coast | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | North Korea | 3 | -11 | 0 |
We said: Japan 3-0 North Korea
North Korea will be motivated to upset the odds here, aware of how all but a few people will expect this group to be a foregone conclusion for Japan. We expect it to be just that for this game, too, with Japan cruising to the three points and another clean sheet. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Japan win with a probability of 80.23%. A draw had a probability of 12.9% and a win for North Korea had a probability of 6.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Japan win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.12%) and 1-0 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.12%), while for a North Korea win it was 0-1 (2.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Japan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Japan | Draw | North Korea |
80.23% ( 0.07) | 12.94% ( -0.04) | 6.82% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 46.53% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
