Coverage of the International Friendlies Friendlies 3 clash between Ethiopia and Lesotho.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Ethiopia 0-3 Burkina Faso
Tuesday, November 21 at 1pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Tuesday, November 21 at 1pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Next Game: Ethiopia vs. Lesotho
Sunday, March 24 at 12am in International Friendlies
Sunday, March 24 at 12am in International Friendlies
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Cameroon | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Burkina Faso | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Cape Verde | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Ethiopia | 3 | -4 | 1 |
Last Game: South Africa 0-0 Lesotho
Wednesday, January 10 at 1pm in International Friendlies
Wednesday, January 10 at 1pm in International Friendlies
Next Game: Ethiopia vs. Lesotho
Sunday, March 24 at 12am in International Friendlies
Sunday, March 24 at 12am in International Friendlies
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ethiopia win with a probability of 48.2%. A draw had a probability of 29.2% and a win for Lesotho had a probability of 22.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ethiopia win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.49%) and 2-1 (8.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.08%), while for a Lesotho win it was 0-1 (10.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ethiopia | Draw | Lesotho |
48.2% ( -0.01) | 29.25% ( 0) | 22.56% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 38.48% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
