MX23RW : Friday, November 8 14:59:00| >> :120:77619:77619:
United Arab Emirates national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round
Oct 10, 2024 at 5pm UK
Hazza Bin Zayed Stadium
North Korea national football team

UAE
vs.
North Korea

FT

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between United Arab Emirates and North Korea, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: UAE 0-1 Iran
Tuesday, September 10 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Next Game: Uzbekistan vs. UAE
Tuesday, October 15 at 3pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: North Korea 2-2 Qatar
Tuesday, September 10 at 1pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Next Game: Kyrgyzstan vs. North Korea
Tuesday, October 15 at 3pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

We said: United Arab Emirates 1-0 North Korea

Providing Iran with a good test last time out, UAE should be confident of putting North Korea to the sword at Hazza Bin Zayed Stadium on Thursday night. Chollima struggled to pose a threat on the road against Uzbekistan in September, and we feel that it could be a similar story for the visitors in Al Ain. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a United Arab Emirates win with a probability of 55.42%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for North Korea had a probability of 20.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a United Arab Emirates win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.04%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.22%), while for a North Korea win it was 0-1 (6.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.

Result
United Arab EmiratesDrawNorth Korea
55.42% (-5.222 -5.22) 23.61% (1.1 1.1) 20.97% (4.123 4.12)
Both teams to score 51.28% (3.666 3.67)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.95% (1.262 1.26)49.04% (-1.262 -1.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.88% (1.131 1.13)71.12% (-1.131 -1.13)
United Arab Emirates Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.45% (-1.383 -1.38)17.54% (1.383 1.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.92% (-2.463 -2.46)48.08% (2.464 2.46)
North Korea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.19% (5.399 5.4)37.81% (-5.397 -5.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.42% (4.885 4.89)74.58% (-4.884 -4.88)
Score Analysis
    United Arab Emirates 55.41%
    North Korea 20.97%
    Draw 23.6%
United Arab EmiratesDrawNorth Korea
1-0 @ 11.54% (-1.18 -1.18)
2-0 @ 10.04% (-1.55 -1.55)
2-1 @ 9.77% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
3-0 @ 5.83% (-1.217 -1.22)
3-1 @ 5.67% (-0.243 -0.24)
3-2 @ 2.76% (0.276 0.28)
4-0 @ 2.54% (-0.674 -0.67)
4-1 @ 2.47% (-0.228 -0.23)
4-2 @ 1.2% (0.069 0.07)
Other @ 3.6%
Total : 55.41%
1-1 @ 11.22% (0.54 0.54)
0-0 @ 6.63% (-0.349 -0.35)
2-2 @ 4.75% (0.669 0.67)
Other @ 1%
Total : 23.6%
0-1 @ 6.45% (0.592 0.59)
1-2 @ 5.46% (0.98 0.98)
0-2 @ 3.14% (0.679 0.68)
1-3 @ 1.77% (0.517 0.52)
2-3 @ 1.54% (0.399 0.4)
0-3 @ 1.02% (0.329 0.33)
Other @ 1.59%
Total : 20.97%

How you voted: UAE vs North Korea

United Arab Emirates
71.2%
Draw
19.2%
North Korea
9.6%
52
rhs 2.0
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