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North Korea national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round
Nov 14, 2024 at 12am UK
 
Iran national football team

North Korea
vs.
Iran

FT

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between North Korea and Iran, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Kyrgyzstan 1-0 North Korea
Tuesday, October 15 at 3pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Next Game: North Korea vs. Uzbekistan
Tuesday, November 19 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
All competitions
Last Game: Iran 4-1 Qatar
Tuesday, October 15 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Next Game: Kyrgyzstan vs. Iran
Tuesday, November 19 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

We said: North Korea 1-4 Iran

There is little reason to doubt Iran on Thursday given their formidable overall record in recent months. Additionally, the visitors have been strong away from home for some time, and they face a North Korean side that have been poor in their group matches, so the away side should be considered strong favourites. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iran win with a probability of 82.39%. A draw had a probability of 12.3% and a win for North Korea had a probability of 5.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Iran win was 0-2 with a probability of 14.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (12.76%) and 0-1 (10.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.82%), while for a North Korea win it was 1-0 (2.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.

Result
North KoreaDrawIran
5.3% (3.3309 3.33) 12.31% (5.423 5.42) 82.39% (-8.759 -8.76)
Both teams to score 39.03% (9.55 9.55)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.39% (-7.914 -7.91)37.61% (7.911 7.91)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.15% (-9.021 -9.02)59.85% (9.018 9.02)
North Korea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
41.92% (11.271 11.27)58.07% (-11.273 -11.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
10.36% (5.0951 5.1)89.63% (-5.098 -5.1)
Iran Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.1% (-3.083 -3.08)6.89% (3.0801 3.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
74.67% (-9.06 -9.06)25.33% (9.056 9.06)
Score Analysis
    North Korea 5.3%
    Iran 82.37%
    Draw 12.31%
North KoreaDrawIran
1-0 @ 2.18% (1.207 1.21)
2-1 @ 1.58% (1.002 1)
Other @ 1.54%
Total : 5.3%
1-1 @ 5.82% (2.656 2.66)
0-0 @ 4% (1.359 1.36)
2-2 @ 2.11% (1.169 1.17)
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 12.31%
0-2 @ 14.31% (0.2 0.2)
0-3 @ 12.76% (-2.6 -2.6)
0-1 @ 10.7% (2.061 2.06)
0-4 @ 8.54% (-4.004 -4)
1-2 @ 7.78% (2.617 2.62)
1-3 @ 6.94% (1.314 1.31)
1-4 @ 4.64% (0.046 0.05)
0-5 @ 4.57% (-3.631 -3.63)
1-5 @ 2.48% (-0.519 -0.52)
0-6 @ 2.04% (-2.427 -2.43)
2-3 @ 1.89% (0.856 0.86)
2-4 @ 1.26% (0.421 0.42)
1-6 @ 1.11% (-0.528 -0.53)
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 82.37%

How you voted: North Korea vs Iran

North Korea
23.4%
Draw
10.6%
Iran
66.0%
47
rhs 2.0
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3Chelsea126422314922
4Arsenal126422112922
5Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton126422116522
6Tottenham HotspurSpurs1261527131419
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest125431513219
8Aston Villa125431919019
9Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
10Fulham125341717018
11Brentford125252222017
12Manchester UnitedMan Utd124441313016
13Bournemouth124351617-115
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Everton122551017-711
16Leicester CityLeicester122461523-810
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves122372028-89
18Ipswich TownIpswich121651323-109
19Crystal Palace121561017-78
20Southampton121110924-154


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