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Qatar national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round
Sep 5, 2024 at 5pm UK
Ahmad Bin Ali Stadium
United Arab Emirates national football team

Qatar
1 - 3
UAE

Ali (38')
Salman (52'), Barsham (65')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Abdalla (68'), Ibrahim (80'), Saleh (90+4')
Autonne (25'), Alghassani (44'), Essa (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Qatar and United Arab Emirates, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Qatar 2-1 India
Tuesday, June 11 at 4.45pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: UAE 1-1 Bahrain
Tuesday, June 11 at 6pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

We said: Qatar 3-1 United Arab Emirates

Qatar have comfortably defeated the UAE in three of their last four meetings across all competitions, and we expect this game to follow that trend with a significant victory for the hosts. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a United Arab Emirates win with a probability of 39.58%. A win for Qatar had a probability of 33.94% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a United Arab Emirates win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.49%) and 0-2 (6.91%). The likeliest Qatar win was 1-0 (9.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that United Arab Emirates would win this match.

Result
QatarDrawUnited Arab Emirates
33.94% (0.189 0.19) 26.47% (-0.164 -0.16) 39.58% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Both teams to score 52.37% (0.565 0.57)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.58% (0.701 0.7)52.42% (-0.702 -0.7)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.9% (0.596 0.6)74.1% (-0.60000000000001 -0.6)
Qatar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.73% (0.468 0.47)29.27% (-0.471 -0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.76% (0.569 0.57)65.23% (-0.57300000000001 -0.57)
United Arab Emirates Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.04% (0.309 0.31)25.96% (-0.311 -0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.02% (0.413 0.41)60.97% (-0.416 -0.42)
Score Analysis
    Qatar 33.94%
    United Arab Emirates 39.58%
    Draw 26.47%
QatarDrawUnited Arab Emirates
1-0 @ 9.34% (-0.138 -0.14)
2-1 @ 7.73% (0.055 0.05)
2-0 @ 5.74% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.17% (0.063 0.06)
3-0 @ 2.35% (0.027 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.14% (0.061 0.06)
4-1 @ 0.97% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 33.94%
1-1 @ 12.59% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-0 @ 7.6% (-0.214 -0.21)
2-2 @ 5.22% (0.083 0.08)
3-3 @ 0.96% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.47%
0-1 @ 10.24% (-0.2 -0.2)
1-2 @ 8.49% (0.025 0.03)
0-2 @ 6.91% (-0.07 -0.07)
1-3 @ 3.82% (0.044 0.04)
0-3 @ 3.11% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.34% (0.057 0.06)
1-4 @ 1.29% (0.027 0.03)
0-4 @ 1.05% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 39.58%

How you voted: Qatar vs UAE

Qatar
80.9%
Draw
10.6%
United Arab Emirates
8.5%
47
rhs 2.0
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