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World Cup
United Arab Emirates national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round
Sep 10, 2024 at 5pm UK
Al-Nahyan Stadium
Iran national football team

UAE
0 - 1
Iran

FT(HT: 0-1)
Ghaedi (45+3')
Jahanbakhsh (35'), Ghoddos (48'), Kanani (90+6'), Mohammadi (90+11')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between United Arab Emirates and Iran, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

United Arab Emirates

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Qatar 1-3 UAE
Thursday, September 5 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Iran

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Iran 1-0 Kyrgyzstan
Thursday, September 5 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

We said: United Arab Emirates 1-2 Iran

 Iran are on a six-game winning run against the UAE, and we are backing that to be stretched to seven in this encounter. It should be a tight match, but Iran have so much quality in the forward areas, and we are expecting the visitors to make it six points from two matches in this particular section. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iran win with a probability of 44.29%. A win for United Arab Emirates had a probability of 30.27% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Iran win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.09%) and 0-2 (7.57%). The likeliest United Arab Emirates win was 1-0 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Iran in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Iran.

Result
United Arab EmiratesDrawIran
30.27% (-5.018 -5.02) 25.44% (-0.858 -0.86) 44.29% (5.875 5.88)
Both teams to score 54.38% (1.227 1.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.78% (2.292 2.29)49.22% (-2.295 -2.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.71% (2.032 2.03)71.28% (-2.032 -2.03)
United Arab Emirates Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.88% (-2.122 -2.12)30.12% (2.123 2.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.74% (-2.626 -2.63)66.26% (2.625 2.63)
Iran Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.81% (3.997 4)22.19% (-3.999 -4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.4% (5.68 5.68)55.59% (-5.683 -5.68)
Score Analysis
    United Arab Emirates 30.27%
    Iran 44.29%
    Draw 25.43%
United Arab EmiratesDrawIran
1-0 @ 8.02% (-1.314 -1.31)
2-1 @ 7.25% (-0.716 -0.72)
2-0 @ 4.81% (-1.13 -1.13)
3-1 @ 2.9% (-0.481 -0.48)
3-2 @ 2.18% (-0.082 -0.08)
3-0 @ 1.93% (-0.597 -0.6)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 30.27%
1-1 @ 12.07% (-0.43 -0.43)
0-0 @ 6.68% (-0.649 -0.65)
2-2 @ 5.45% (0.12 0.12)
3-3 @ 1.1% (0.084 0.08)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.43%
0-1 @ 10.06% (0.237 0.24)
1-2 @ 9.09% (0.712 0.71)
0-2 @ 7.57% (0.993 0.99)
1-3 @ 4.56% (0.82 0.82)
0-3 @ 3.8% (0.863 0.86)
2-3 @ 2.74% (0.355 0.36)
1-4 @ 1.72% (0.463 0.46)
0-4 @ 1.43% (0.446 0.45)
2-4 @ 1.03% (0.232 0.23)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 44.29%

How you voted: UAE vs Iran

United Arab Emirates
22.2%
Draw
13.3%
Iran
64.4%
45
Head to Head
Jan 23, 2024 3pm
Group Stage
Iran
2-1
UAE
Taremi (26', 65')
Moharrami (41'), Kanani (62')
Alghassani (90+3')
Alzaabi (54'), Ibrahim (72')
> Preview
Feb 1, 2022 2.30pm
Third Round
Iran
1-0
UAE
Taremi (44')
Ezatolahi (23'), Moharrami (38'), Jahanbakhsh (84')
Moharrami (49')

Alzaabi (84'), Ramadan (90+2')
> Preview
Oct 7, 2021 5.45pm
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0-1
Iran

Al Ahbabi (21'), Abdulrahman (74'), Saleh (87')
Taremi (70')
Noorafkan (43')
> Preview
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