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Benin national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Nov 14, 2024 at 7pm UK
Stade Felix Houphouet-Boigny
Nigeria national football team

Benin
1 - 1
Nigeria

Tijani (16')
Dandjinou (76'), (89')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Osimhen (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Benin and Nigeria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Rwanda 2-1 Benin
Tuesday, October 15 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Nigeria 1-0 Libya
Friday, October 11 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

We said: Benin 1-2 Nigeria

Benin might be inspired by their win in this fixture back in June, but this time Nigeria are coming into the game with a lot more firepower and in-form forwards, which is why we are predicting a victory for the visitors. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nigeria win with a probability of 42.78%. A draw had a probability of 28.9% and a win for Benin had a probability of 28.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nigeria win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.61%) and 1-2 (8.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.2%), while for a Benin win it was 1-0 (10.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.

Result
BeninDrawNigeria
28.28% (-1.649 -1.65) 28.93% (-0.384 -0.38) 42.78% (2.029 2.03)
Both teams to score 43.23% (0.253 0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.04% (0.677 0.68)62.96% (-0.68 -0.68)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.56% (0.487 0.49)82.43% (-0.491 -0.49)
Benin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.07% (-0.948 -0.95)38.93% (0.944 0.94)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.34% (-0.907 -0.91)75.66% (0.90300000000001 0.9)
Nigeria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.8% (1.49 1.49)29.2% (-1.493 -1.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.85% (1.796 1.8)65.14% (-1.8 -1.8)
Score Analysis
    Benin 28.28%
    Nigeria 42.77%
    Draw 28.93%
BeninDrawNigeria
1-0 @ 10.72% (-0.56 -0.56)
2-1 @ 6.23% (-0.224 -0.22)
2-0 @ 5.06% (-0.404 -0.4)
3-1 @ 1.96% (-0.123 -0.12)
3-0 @ 1.59% (-0.171 -0.17)
3-2 @ 1.21% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 28.28%
1-1 @ 13.2% (-0.12 -0.12)
0-0 @ 11.36% (-0.29 -0.29)
2-2 @ 3.83% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 28.93%
0-1 @ 13.99% (0.22 0.22)
0-2 @ 8.61% (0.48 0.48)
1-2 @ 8.13% (0.254 0.25)
0-3 @ 3.53% (0.332 0.33)
1-3 @ 3.33% (0.234 0.23)
2-3 @ 1.57% (0.073 0.07)
0-4 @ 1.09% (0.142 0.14)
1-4 @ 1.03% (0.111 0.11)
Other @ 1.49%
Total : 42.77%

How you voted: Benin vs Nigeria

Benin
22.0%
Draw
18.0%
Nigeria
60.0%
50
Head to Head
Sep 7, 2024 5pm
Group Stage
Nigeria
3-0
Benin
Lookman (45+2', 83'), Osimhen (78')
Bassey (39'), Lookman (52')

Olaitan (61')
Jun 10, 2024 5pm
Group Stage
Benin
2-1
Nigeria
Dossou (37'), Mounie (45+3')
Onyedika (27')
Ismail (90+3')
rhs 2.0
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