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Serbia national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage
Oct 12, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
 
Azerbaijan national football team

Serbia
3 - 1
Azerbaijan

Vlahovic (30' pen., 53'), Tadic (83' pen.)
FT(HT: 1-1)
Mahmudov (45+2')
Haghverdi (27'), Medvedev (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - Europe clash between Serbia and Azerbaijan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Serbia win with a probability of 55.24%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Azerbaijan had a probability of 19.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Serbia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.4%) and 2-1 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.79%), while for an Azerbaijan win it was 0-1 (7.54%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Serbia would win this match.

Result
SerbiaDrawAzerbaijan
55.24%25.41%19.35%
Both teams to score 43.87%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.33%57.66%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.58%78.42%
Serbia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.08%20.92%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.35%53.65%
Azerbaijan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.47%44.53%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.45%80.55%
Score Analysis
    Serbia 55.24%
    Azerbaijan 19.35%
    Draw 25.41%
SerbiaDrawAzerbaijan
1-0 @ 14.57%
2-0 @ 11.4%
2-1 @ 9.22%
3-0 @ 5.95%
3-1 @ 4.81%
4-0 @ 2.33%
3-2 @ 1.95%
4-1 @ 1.88%
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 55.24%
1-1 @ 11.79%
0-0 @ 9.32%
2-2 @ 3.73%
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 25.41%
0-1 @ 7.54%
1-2 @ 4.77%
0-2 @ 3.05%
1-3 @ 1.29%
2-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 19.35%

How you voted: Serbia vs Azerbaijan

Serbia
84.3%
Draw
8.6%
Azerbaijan
7.1%
70
Head to Head
Mar 30, 2021 5pm
Group Stage
Azerbaijan
1-2
Serbia
Mahmudov (59' pen.)
Xalilzada (88')
Mitrovic (16', 81')
Spajic (45+1'), Gudelj (76')
rhs 2.0
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