Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guinea win with a probability of 53.52%. A draw had a probability of 30.8% and a win for Uganda had a probability of 15.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guinea win was 1-0 with a probability of 21.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.07%) and 2-1 (6.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (17.86%), while for a Uganda win it was 0-1 (9.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Guinea in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Guinea.
-0.6) 
0.66) 
