Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage

Jun 18, 2023 at 4pm UK

Stade Omnisport de Limbe

Uganda
1 - 2
Algeria

Bayo (88')
Byaruhanga (44')

FT(HT: 0-1)

El Amine Amoura (42', 66')
Mandrea (90+1')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Uganda and Algeria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Uganda

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Congo DR 1-0 Uganda
Wednesday, June 14 at 4pm in International Friendlies

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Egypt	3	5	9
2	Uganda	3	0	4
3	Congo DR	3	0	3
4	Zimbabwe	3	-5	1

Algeria

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Niger 0-1 Algeria
Monday, March 27 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Ivory Coast	3	3	7
2	Equatorial Guinea	3	1	6
3	Sierra Leone	3	-1	2
4	Algeria	3	-3	1

While Uganda will look to take the positives from their performance against DR Congo, they face a rampant Algeria side who are firing on all cylinders in the qualifiers. The Greens boast a significantly superior and more experienced squad and we anticipate them claiming all three points in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Algeria win with a probability of 54.72%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Uganda had a probability of 18.56%.

The most likely scoreline for an Algeria win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.99%) and 1-2 (8.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.9%), while for a Uganda win it was 1-0 (8.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Algeria would win this match.

Result
Uganda	Draw	Algeria
18.56% ( 0.38)	26.72% ( 0.11)	54.72% ( -0.49)

Both teams to score 39.54% (

0.29)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.26% (

0.06)

62.74% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.72% (

0.04)

82.28% (

-0.04)

Uganda Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

51.52% (

0.5)

48.47% (

-0.5)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.42% (

0.36)

83.58% (

-0.36)

Algeria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.74% (

-0.19)

23.26% (

0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.81% (

-0.28)

57.19% (

0.28)

Score Analysis

Uganda 18.56%

Algeria 54.71%

Draw 26.71%

Uganda	Draw	Algeria
1-0 @ 8.17% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 4.31% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 2.96% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 1.04% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.08% Total : 18.56%	1-1 @ 11.9% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 11.27% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 3.14% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.39% Total : 26.71%	0-1 @ 16.44% ( -0.13) 0-2 @ 11.99% ( -0.16) 1-2 @ 8.68% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 5.83% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 4.22% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 2.13% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 1.54% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.53% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.36% Total : 54.71%