We said: South Sudan 1-1 Sudan
While South Sudan have not set this competition alight, they have proven a difficult side to beat, having taken points off Mauritania and Togo in their last two matches, and we feel they will earn a share of the spoils in this one as well.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sudan win with a probability of 43.46%. A draw had a probability of 29.4% and a win for South Sudan had a probability of 27.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sudan win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.95%) and 1-2 (8.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.18%), while for a South Sudan win it was 1-0 (10.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sudan would win this match.