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Mauritania national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage
Jun 6, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stade Cheikha Ould Boidiya
Sudan national football team

Mauritania
0 - 2
Sudan

FT(HT: 0-2)
Thierry (15'), Abeid (29' og.)
Omer (38'), Agab (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Mauritania and Sudan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Morocco 0-0 Mauritania
Tuesday, March 26 at 10pm in International Friendlies
All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Sudan 0-1 Tanzania
Sunday, May 19 at 3pm in International Friendlies

We said: Mauritania 1-1 Sudan

Following their impressive start to the World Cup qualifying series, Sudan will be looking to pick up another important point in Mauritania. Despite the home side's better record in this fixture, the visitors are heading into this with better form. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mauritania win with a probability of 46.6%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Sudan had a probability of 25.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mauritania win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.31%) and 2-1 (8.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.81%), while for a Sudan win it was 0-1 (9.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.

Result
MauritaniaDrawSudan
46.6% (0.116 0.12) 27.58% (0.0070000000000014 0.01) 25.82% (-0.125 -0.13)
Both teams to score 45.2% (-0.111 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.31% (-0.095999999999997 -0.1)59.69% (0.094000000000001 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)80% (0.070999999999998 0.07)
Mauritania Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.34% (0.013999999999996 0.01)25.65% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.44% (0.018999999999998 0.02)60.56% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)
Sudan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.8% (-0.165 -0.16)39.2% (0.16 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.09% (-0.156 -0.16)75.91% (0.151 0.15)
Score Analysis
    Mauritania 46.6%
    Sudan 25.82%
    Draw 27.57%
MauritaniaDrawSudan
1-0 @ 13.68% (0.06 0.06)
2-0 @ 9.31% (0.040999999999999 0.04)
2-1 @ 8.72%
3-0 @ 4.22% (0.021 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.95% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 1.85% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.44% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.34% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 46.6%
1-1 @ 12.81%
0-0 @ 10.05% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.08% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 27.57%
0-1 @ 9.42% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-2 @ 4.41% (-0.024 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.87% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.38% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.27% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 1.47%
Total : 25.82%

How you voted: Mauritania vs Sudan

Mauritania
36.4%
Draw
31.8%
Sudan
31.8%
22
Head to Head
Jun 20, 2023 7pm
Group Stage
Sudan
0-3
Mauritania

Abaker (35')
Mohamed El Abd (26'), Hacen Houeibib (49'), Tanjy (55')
Mahmoud (41')
Jun 4, 2022 8pm
Group Stage
Mauritania
3-0
Sudan
Kamara (27' pen., 30'), Mahmoud (77')
Dellahi (19'), Kamara (67')

Abdelgader (18'), Abdel Rahman (26')
Jan 17, 2018 7.30pm
Group Stage
Sudan
1-0
Mauritania
Eldin Mohamed (30')
Koko (14'), Gismalla (92')

N'Gara (42'), Mangane (87')
rhs 2.0
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