Uzbekistan find themselves in a positive run and are certainly becoming a resolute side with qualities across the pitch. We see them triumphing over a struggling Bolivia team who are missing many key players, with Shomurodov likely punishing La Verde's shaky defence. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uzbekistan win with a probability of 80.66%. A draw had a probability of 12.9% and a win for Bolivia had a probability of 6.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Uzbekistan win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.53%) and 1-0 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.11%), while for a Bolivia win it was 0-1 (2.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Uzbekistan would win this match.

Result
Uzbekistan	Draw	Bolivia
80.66% ( 0.01)	12.87% ( -0.01)	6.47%

Both teams to score 44.58% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.24% (

0.06)

34.75% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.28% (

0.07)

56.71% (

-0.07)

Uzbekistan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

93.34% (

0.01)

6.65% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

75.32% (

0.04)

24.68% (

-0.04)

Bolivia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

47.76% (

0.04)

52.24% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

13.84% (

0.03)

86.16% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Uzbekistan 80.66%

Bolivia 6.47%

Draw 12.87%

Uzbekistan	Draw	Bolivia
2-0 @ 12.76% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 11.53% 1-0 @ 9.42% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.29% ( -0) 4-0 @ 7.81% ( 0) 3-1 @ 7.49% ( 0) 4-1 @ 5.07% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 4.24% ( 0) 5-1 @ 2.75% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.43% ( 0) 6-0 @ 1.91% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.65% ( 0.01) 6-1 @ 1.24% ( 0.01) Other @ 4.07% Total : 80.66%	1-1 @ 6.11% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 3.47% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 2.69% ( 0) Other @ 0.59% Total : 12.87%	0-1 @ 2.26% ( -0) 1-2 @ 1.99% Other @ 2.23% Total : 6.47%