Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Karlsruher SC win with a probability of 40.78%. A win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 34.31% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Karlsruher SC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.62%) and 2-0 (6.47%). The likeliest Holstein Kiel win was 1-2 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Karlsruher SC would win this match.