Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Karlsruher SC win with a probability of 44.84%. A win for Wurzburger Kickers had a probability of 30.33% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Karlsruher SC win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.19%) and 0-2 (7.37%). The likeliest Wurzburger Kickers win was 1-0 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Karlsruher SC would win this match.