Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a KuPS win with a probability of 42.18%. A win for Haka had a probability of 31.56% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a KuPS win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.79%) and 0-2 (7.44%). The likeliest Haka win was 1-0 (8.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that KuPS would win this match.