Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haka win with a probability of 43.8%. A win for IFK Mariehamn had a probability of 29.58% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Haka win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.85%) and 0-2 (8.04%). The likeliest IFK Mariehamn win was 1-0 (9.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.