Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 58.13%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 22.01% and a draw had a probability of 19.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.04%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 1-2 (5.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.3%). The actual scoreline of 4-5 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Adelaide United | Draw | Macarthur |
58.13% (![]() | 19.86% (![]() | 22.01% (![]() |
Both teams to score 66.05% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
69.63% (![]() | 30.37% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
48.36% (![]() | 51.63% (![]() |
Adelaide United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.52% (![]() | 10.48% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
65.89% (![]() | 34.11% (![]() |
Macarthur Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.78% (![]() | 26.22% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.68% (![]() | 61.32% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Adelaide United | Draw | Macarthur |
2-1 @ 9.36% (![]() 3-1 @ 7.04% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 6.99% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 6.2% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 5.26% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 4.71% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3.97% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.97% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 2.66% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.79% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.34% ( ![]() 5-2 @ 1.2% ( ![]() 4-3 @ 1.19% ( ![]() Other @ 3.47% Total : 58.13% | 1-1 @ 8.3% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.26% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 2.75% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 2.1% ( ![]() Other @ 0.45% Total : 19.86% | 1-2 @ 5.55% (![]() 0-1 @ 3.68% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.8% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.48% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.46% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.1% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 0.94% ( ![]() Other @ 3.02% Total : 22.01% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Auckland FC | 21 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 41 | 20 | 21 | 45 |
2 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 21 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 46 | 30 | 16 | 38 |
3 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 21 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 37 |
4 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 38 | 30 | 8 | 36 |
5 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 49 | 36 | 13 | 35 |
6 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 46 | 45 | 1 | 33 |
7 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 44 | 34 | 10 | 30 |
8 | Macarthur | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 41 | 37 | 4 | 29 |
9 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 33 | 37 | -4 | 26 |
10 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 22 | 5 | 10 | 7 | 26 | 40 | -14 | 25 |
11 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 21 |
12 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 20 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 23 | 40 | -17 | 11 |
13 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 22 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 51 | -36 | 11 |
> Australian A-League Full Table |