Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western Sydney Wanderers win with a probability of 41.88%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 35.62% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Western Sydney Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.83%) and 2-0 (5.21%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 1-2 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Western Sydney Wanderers in this match.